caudales mínimos probabilísticos (método curva de agotamiento - modelo de maillet)

8/15/2019 Caudales Mínimos Probabilísticos (Método Curva de Agotamiento - Modelo de Maillet)

1/129

Estación: OBRAJES

Provincia: CERCADODepartamento: TARIJA

AÑO ENE. FEB. MAR.1983 0.321984 1.0719851986 0.74 0.87 1.031987 1.15 0.941988 0.84 0.85 1.101989 0.88 0.76 0.851990 0.72 0.88 0.871991 0.86 0.99 1.031992 0.85 0.87 0.751993 0.75 0.63 0.761994 0.81 0.711995 0.77 0.68 0.791996 0.65 0.79 0.861997 0.83 1.06 0.87

1998 0.46 0.56 0.551999 0.64 0.81 0.912000 0.71 0.92 0.982001 0.80 0.95 0.922002 0.71 1.00 0.922003 0.70 0.64 0.87

MEDIA 0.79 0.83 0.84

#ERIODO IDROLO"ICO OC$. NO%.1982 19831983 1984 0.20 0.401984 1985 0.67 0.841985 1986 0.44 0.63


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1986 1987 0.44 0.641987 1988 0.631988 1989 0.51 0.571989 1990 0.49 0.461990 1991 0.52 0.651991 1992 0.48 0.38

1992 1993 0.46 0.501993 1994 0.47 0.381994 1995 0.38 0.491995 1996 0.45 0.491996 1997 0.59 0.651997 1998 0.32 0.411998 1999 0.39 0.451999 2000 0.58 0.492000 2001 0.35 0.332001 2002 0.51 0.532002 2003 0.60 0.57

REGISTROS A CONSIDERAR

#ERIODO IDROLO"ICO OC$. NO%.1 1994 1995 0.38 0.492 1995 1996 0.45 0.493 1996 1997 0.59 0.654 1997 1998 0.32 0.415 1998 1999 0.39 0.456 1999 2000 0.58 0.49

PROMEDIO 0.45 0.50

1 OCTUBRE

2 NOVIEMBRE

3 DICIEMBRE

4 ENERO

5 FEBRERO

6 MARZO

7 ABRIL

8 MAYO


3/129

9 JUNIO

10 JULIO

11 AGOSTO

12 SEPTIEMBRE


4/129

ESCALA MEDIA (mts) AÑO CALENDARIO

ABR. MA&. 'N. 'L. A"O. SE#.0.32 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.21 0.20

0.75 0.69 0.67 0.61

0.72 0.58 0.55 0.52 0.48 0.450.65 0.67 0.63

0.99 0.75 0.69 0.66 0.59 0.530.80 0.66 0.57 0.51 0.400.74 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.550.80 0.57 0.52 0.47 0.43 0.400.63 0.58 0.54 0.52 0.50 0.480.65 0.56 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.470.58 0.53 0.49 0.48 0.460.67 0.59 0.58 0.54 0.50 0.470.79 0.73 0.68 0.66 0.65 0.640.65 0.53 0.49 0.41 0.35 0.32

0.50 0.45 0.50 0.48 0.46 0.440.68 0.68 0.63 0.62 0.56 0.560.72 0.57 0.50 0.46 0.42 0.37

0.60 0.59 0.57 0.500.48

0.780.69 0.58 0.56 0.53 0.49 0.46

ESCALA MEDIA (mts) AÑO IDROL!"ICO

DIC. ENE. FEB. MAR. ABR. MA&.0.32 0.32 0.29

0.73 1.07

0.96 0.74 0.87 1.03 0.72 0.58


5/129

0.79 1.15 0.94 0.650.53 0.84 0.85 1.10 0.99 0.750.82 0.88 0.76 0.85 0.80 0.660.71 0.72 0.88 0.87 0.74 0.600.84 0.86 0.99 1.03 0.80 0.570.50 0.85 0.87 0.75 0.63 0.58

0.63 0.75 0.63 0.76 0.65 0.560.53 0.81 0.71 0.58 0.530.55 0.77 0.68 0.79 0.67 0.590.53 0.65 0.79 0.86 0.79 0.730.66 0.83 1.06 0.87 0.65 0.530.21 0.46 0.56 0.55 0.50 0.450.48 0.64 0.81 0.91 0.68 0.680.50 0.71 0.92 0.98 0.72 0.570.50 0.80 0.95 0.92 0.600.66 0.71 1.00 0.920.51 0.70 0.64 0.87 0.78

ESCALA MEDIA (mts) AÑO IDROL!"ICO

DIC. ENE. FEB. MAR. ABR. MA&.0.55 0.77 0.68 0.79 0.67 0.590.53 0.65 0.79 0.86 0.79 0.730.66 0.83 1.06 0.87 0.65 0.530.21 0.46 0.56 0.55 0.50 0.450.48 0.64 0.81 0.91 0.68 0.680.50 0.71 0.92 0.98 0.72 0.570.49 0.68 0.80 0.83 0.67 0.59

045

050

049

068

080

083

067

059


6/129

056

053

049

047


7/129

Lat. S.: 21 !1"

Lon#. $.: %& &%"A't(ra: 1.)*+ m.s.n.m.

OC$. NO%. DIC. MEDIA0.20 0.40 0.730.67 0.840.44 0.63 0.960.44 0.64 0.79 0.65

0.63 0.530.51 0.57 0.82 0.740.49 0.46 0.710.52 0.65 0.84 0.670.48 0.38 0.50 0.620.46 0.50 0.63 0.610.47 0.38 0.53 0.560.38 0.49 0.550.45 0.49 0.53 0.590.59 0.65 0.66 0.700.32 0.41 0.21 0.54

0.39 0.45 0.48 0.480.58 0.49 0.50 0.640.35 0.33 0.50 0.570.51 0.53 0.660.60 0.57 0.51

0.47 0.52 0.61 0.61

'N. 'L. A"O. SE#.0.29 0.27 0.21 0.200.75 0.69 0.67 0.61

0.55 0.52 0.48 0.45


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0.67 0.630.69

0.57 0.55 0.54 0.550.52 0.47 0.43 0.400.54 0.52 0.50 0.48

0.51 0.50 0.48 0.470.49 0.48 0.460.58 0.54 0.50 0.470.68 0.66 0.65 0.640.49 0.41 0.35 0.320.50 0.48 0.46 0.440.63 0.62 0.56 0.560.50 0.46 0.42 0.370.59 0.57 0.50

0.48

'N. 'L. A"O. SE#.0.58 0.54 0.50 0.470.68 0.66 0.65 0.640.49 0.41 0.35 0.320.50 0.48 0.46 0.440.63 0.62 0.56 0.560.50 0.46 0.42 0.370.56 0.53 0.49 0.47


9/129


10/129

DA$O

#ERODO IDROL!"ICO Nº FECHA

1 18-11-94

2 19-01-953 27-01-954 22-03-955 09-05-956 20-06-957 17-07-958 18-08-959 29-08-95

DA$OS


1 18-11-942 19-01-953 27-01-954 22-03-955 09-05-956 20-06-957 17-07-95

8 18-08-959 29-08-95


11/129


12/129

INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.60 3.574

0.88 12.815

0.71 7.814

0.88 14.625

0.67 3.233

0.59 1.644

0.55 1.368

0.51 0.817

0.49 0.593

A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.88 12.815

0.88 14.625

0.67 3.233

0.59 1.644

0.55 1.368

0.51 0.817

0.49 0.593

ajustesMES E !"#. $#% MES E !"#. $#%

OCT&'RE 0.45 OCT&'RE 0.43NO(IEM'RE 0.50 NO(IEM'RE 0.50DICIEM'RE 0.49 DICIEM'RE 0.55

ENERO 0.68 ENERO 0.68)E'RERO 0.80 )E'RERO 0.80MAR*O 0.83 MAR*O 0.83 A'RI+ 0.67 A'RI+ 0.67MA,O 0.59 MA,O 0.59

-&NIO 0.56 -&NIO 0.55 -&+IO 0.53 -&+IO 0.52

AGOSTO 0.49 AGOSTO 0.49SEPTIEM'RE 0.47 SEPTIEM'RE 0.45

Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.&+ +.,+ +.

+.+++

,.+++

1+.+++

1,.+++

2+.+++

$/% 26.6759985435

R 0.9958664143

A

A-s $-t/


13/129


14/129

MES

+ +.-+ +.)+ +.*+ 1.++

/5.2059421773

*+,t $-t/

Co'(mn

Po/er 0Co'(mn

-s $-t/


15/129

1 OCT&'RE2 NO(IEM'RE3 DICIEM'RE4 ENERO5 )E'RERO6 MAR*O

7 A'RI+8 MA,O9 -&NIO10 -&+IO11 AGOSTO12 SEPTIEM'RE


16/129C++ M/- M/s+

(m3s)12.+++

IDRO


17/129

0.3300.6931.1873.4978.4789.990

3.2391.7161.1870.8860.6470.418

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

M/s $-/m

MA&O 0 1.716 'NIO 1 1.187 'LIO 2 0.886

A"OS$O 3 0.647SE#$IEMBRE 4 0.418

(m3s)

+ 2 &+.+++

2.+++

&.+++

%.+++

).+++

1+.+++

A-s $-

A-s $-t/


18/129

RAMA


19/129

% ) 1+ 12

Co'(mn R

/

+ +., 1 1., 2 2., ! !., & &.,+.+++

+.,++

1.+++

1.,++

2.+++

$/% 1.7216744211 e/$ 0.343342698R 0.9950392684

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

Co'(mn

E3ponentia' 0Co'

A-s $-t/

A-s $-t/


20/129


21/129

/ %

mn


22/129

DA$O


1 03-10-95

2 17-10-953 06-12-954 09-01-965 25-01-966 08-02-967 26-03-968 09-04-969 27-05-9610 25-06-9611 30-07-96

12 10-09-96

DA$OS


1 03-10-952 17-10-953 06-12-954 09-01-96

5 25-01-966 08-02-967 26-03-968 09-04-969 27-05-9610 25-06-9611 30-07-9612 10-09-96


23/129


24/129

INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.46 0.421

0.46 0.361

0.55 2.574

0.50 1.708

0.66 6.121

0.79 8.150

0.92 10.450

0.77 6.769

0.74 2.374

0.71 1.824

0.70 1.339

0.65 0.667

A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.46 0.421

0.46 0.361

0.79 8.150

0.92 10.450

0.77 6.769

MES E !"#. $#%OCT&'RE 0.43

NO(IEM'RE 0.50DICIEM'RE 0.55

ENERO 0.68)E'RERO 0.80MAR*O 0.83 A'RI+ 0.67MA,O 0.59-&NIO 0.55

Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.&+ +.,+ +.%++.+++

2.+++

&.+++

%.+++

).+++

1+.+++

12.+++

$/% 2R 0.9

C*

A-s

A-s $-t/


25/129

-&+IO 0.52 AGOSTO 0.49

SEPTIEM'RE 0.45


26/129

.-+ +.)+ +.*+ 1.++

.7114994146 /5.117482991532794626

,t $-t/

Co'(mn

Po/er 0Co'(mn

-t/


27/129

MES1 OCT&'RE2 NO(IEM'RE3 DICIEM'RE4 ENERO5 )E'RERO6 MAR*O7 A'RI+8 MA,O9 -&NIO

10 -&+IO11 AGOSTO12 SEPTIEM'RE


28/129


29/129

C++ M/- M/s+

0.2890.6001.0192.9467.0368.2672.7321.4641.0190.7640.5610.365

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

M/s $-/mMA&O 0 1.464 'NIO 1 1.019 'LIO 2 0.764

A"OS$O 3 0.561SE#$IEMBRE 4 0.365

(m3s)

(m

3

s)

+ 2 & %+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++

,.+++

%.+++

-.+++

).+++

*.+++

IDR

A-s

A-s $-t/


30/129


31/129

) 1+ 12 1&

"RAMA

Co'(mn 4

-t/

+ +., 1 1., 2 2., ! !., & &.,+.+++

+.2++

+.&++

+.%++

+.)++

1.+++

1.2++

1.&++

1.%++

$/% 1.4679798687 e/$ 0.337512487R 0.9950392684

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

Co'(mn T

E3ponentia'

A-s $-t/

A-s $-t/


32/129


33/129


34/129

DA$O


1 17-10-96

2 15-11-963 28-11-964 09-12-965 07-01-976 07-05-977 15-07-978 19-09-97

DA$OS


1 17-10-962 15-11-963 28-11-964 09-12-965 07-01-976 07-05-977 15-07-978 19-09-97


35/129


36/129

INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.62 0.427

0.63 1.726

0.54 0.423

0.57 1.547

0.82 5.823

0.60 3.871

0.46 1.500

0.33 0.550

A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.82 5.823

0.46 1.500

0.33 0.550

MES E !"#. $#%OCT&'RE 0.43


ENERO 0.68)E'RERO 0.80MAR*O 0.83 A'RI+ 0.67MA,O 0.59

-&NIO 0.55 -&+IO 0.52

AGOSTO 0.49SEPTIEM'RE 0.45

Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.!+ +.&+ +.,+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++

,.+++

%.+++

-.+++

$/% 10.0230622662 /

R 0.9952766845

A-s $-t/


37/129


38/129

+.%+ +.-+ +.)+ +.*+

2.565622484

C*+,t $-t/

Co'(mn

Po/er 0Co'(mn

A-s $-t/


39/129

MES1 OCT&'RE2 NO(IEM'RE3 DICIEM'RE4 ENERO

5 )E'RERO6 MAR*O7 A'RI+8 MA,O9 -&NIO10 -&+IO11 AGOSTO12 SEPTIEM'RE


40/129


41/129

C++ M/- M/s+

1.1501.6592.1623.682

5.6976.1773.5462.5932.1621.8721.6031.292

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

M/s $-/m

MA&O 0 2.593 'NIO 1 2.162 'LIO 2 1.872

A"OS$O 3 1.603

SE#$IEMBRE 4 1.292

(m3s)

(m3s)

+ 2 &+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++

,.+++

%.+++

-.+++

A-

A-s $-t/


42/129


43/129

) 1+ 12 1&

Co'(mn R

$-t/

+ +., 1 1., 2 2., ! !., & &.,+.+++

+.,++

1.+++

1.,++

2.+++

2.,++

!.+++

$/% 2.5968796541 e/$ 0.1R 0.9950392684

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$

A-s $-t/

A-s $-t/


44/129


45/129

9208019 / %

Co'(mn 5

E3ponentia' 0Co'(mn 5


46/129

DA$


1 09-10-97

2 28-11-973 12-12-974 07-01-985 05-02-986 06-03-987 30-03-988 14-04-989 23-06-9810 16-07-98

DA$O


1 09-10-972 28-11-973 12-12-974 07-01-985 05-02-986 06-03-98

7 30-03-988 14-04-989 23-06-9810 16-07-98


47/129


48/129

S INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.31 0.414

0.25 0.528

0.23 0.305

0.76 8.708

0.42 0.179

0.57 2.080

0.62 3.362

0.49 1.040

0.49 0.763

0.47 0.735

S A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.31 0.414

0.23 0.305

0.76 8.708

0.62 3.362

MES E !"#. $#%OCT&'RE 0.43



-&NIO 0.55 -&+IO 0.52


Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.2+ +.!+ +.&++.+++

2.+++

&.+++

%.+++

).+++

1+.+++

$/% 15.

R 0.97

C*

A-s

A-s $-t/


49/129


50/129


51/129

MES1 OCT&'RE2 NO(IEM'RE

3 DICIEM'RE4 ENERO5 )E'RERO6 MAR*O7 A'RI+8 MA,O9 -&NIO10 -&+IO11 AGOSTO12 SEPTIEM'RE


52/129


53/129

C++ M/- M/s+

1.4042.105

2.8215.0838.2369.0064.8753.4492.8212.4062.0271.597

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

M/s $-/m

MA&O 0 3.449 'NIO 1 2.821

'LIO 2 2.406A"OS$O 3 2.027SE#$IEMBRE 4 1.597

(m3s)

(m3s)

+ 2 &+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++

,.+++

%.+++

-.+++).+++

*.+++

1+.+++

ID

A-s $-t/


54/129


55/129


56/129


57/129

11766 / %n 5

ntia' 0Co'(mn 5


58/129

DA$O


1 07-10-98

2 09-10-983 14-10-984 30-10-985 07-01-996 11-02-997 26-04-998 18-06-999 25-06-9910 12-07-9911 05-08-99

12 27-09-99

DA$OS


1 07-10-982 09-10-983 14-10-984 30-10-98

5 07-01-996 11-02-997 26-04-998 18-06-999 25-06-9910 12-07-9911 05-08-9912 27-09-99


59/129


60/129

INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.41 0.256

0.41 0.275

0.40 0.276

0.41 0.288

0.55 2.404

0.76 5.428

0.77 7.071

0.64 2.224

0.66 2.376

0.64 1.349

0.60 1.154

0.57 0.712

A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.41 0.256

0.41 0.275

0.40 0.276

0.41 0.288

0.76 5.428

0.77 7.071

0.66 2.376

MES E !"#. $#%OCT&'RE 0.43


ENERO 0.68)E'RERO 0.80MAR*O 0.83 A'RI+ 0.67MA,O 0.59-&NIO 0.55

Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.!,+.&++.&,+.,++.,+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++,.+++

%.+++

-.+++

).+++

$/% 2R 0.9

C*

A-s

A-s $-t/


61/129

-&+IO 0.52 AGOSTO 0.49

SEPTIEM'RE 0.45


62/129

, +.%++.%,+.-++.-,+.)+

.314677119 /4.863212637443644182

+,t $-t/

Co'(mn

Po/er 0Co'(mn

$-t/


63/129


64/129


65/129

C++ M/- M/s+

0.3520.7041.1643.1947.3058.5152.9731.6431.1640.8860.6610.439

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

M/s $-/m

MA&O 0 1.643 'NIO 1 1.164 'LIO 2 0.886

A"OS$O 3 0.661SE#$IEMBR 4 0.439

(m3s)

(m3s)

+ 2 &+.+++

1.+++

2.+++

!.+++

&.+++

,.+++

%.+++

-.+++

).+++

*.+++

I

A-s $-t/


66/129


67/129

% ) 1+ 12 1&

DRO"RAMA

Co'(mn R

A-s $-t/

+ +., 1 1., 2 2., ! !., & &.,+.+++

+.,++

1.+++

1.,++

2.+++

$/% 1.6476445279 e/$ 0.3207R 0.9950392684

CR%A DE A"O$AMIEN$O

Co'(mn

E3pone

A-s $-t/

A-s $-t/


68/129


69/129


70/129


71/129


72/129

INICIALES

Escala (m)

0.55 0.637

0.56 2.281

0.69 8.655

0.82 10.018

0.82 11.264

0.55 2.242

0.49 1.940

0.37 0.675

0.34 0.443

A'S$ADOS

Escala (m)

0.56 2.281

0.82 10.018

0.82 11.264

0.55 2.242

0.49 1.940

0.37 0.675

0.34 0.443

MES E !"#. $#%OCT&'RE 0.43



-&NIO 0.55 -&+IO 0.52


Caudal (m3 /s)

Caudal (m3 /s)

+.!+ +.&+

+.+++

2.+++

&.+++

%.+++

).+++

1+.+++

12.+++

$/% 20.499621526R 0.9912402186

A-s $-t/


73/129


74/129

+.,+ +.%+ +.-+ +.)+ +.*+

/3.515213791C*+,t $-t/

Co'(mn

Po/er 0Co'(mn

A-s $-t/


75/129

123456

789101112


76/129C++ M/- M/s+

MES (m3s)


77/129

OCT&'RE 1.055NO(IEM'RE 1.743DICIEM'RE 2.507

ENERO 5.199)E'RERO 9.454MAR*O 10.561

A'RI+ 4.936MA,O 3.215

-&NIO 2.507 -&+IO 2.058


CR%A DE A"O$AMI

M/s $-/m

MA&O 0 'NIO 1 'LIO 2

A"OS$O 3SE#$IEMBRE 4

++.+++

2.+++

&.+++

%.+++

).+++

1+.+++

12.+++

A-s $-t/


78/129


79/129

EN$O

3.2152.5072.0581.6641.238

(m3s)

2 & % ) 1+ 12 1&

Co'(mn S

A-s $-t/

+ +., 1 1., 2 2., ! !., &+.+++

+.,++

1.+++

1.,++

2.+++

2.,++

!.+++

!.,++

$/% 3.2218920254 e/R 0.9950392684

CR%A DE A"O$A

A-s $-t/

A-s $-t/


80/129


81/129

&.,

$ 0.2318366185 / %

IEN$O

Co'(mn $

E3ponentia' 0Co'(mn $


82/129

*& 6 *,

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 0.3302 NO(IEM'RE 0.693

3 DICIEM'RE 1.1874 ENERO 3.4975 )E'RERO 8.4786 MAR*O 9.9907 A'RI+ 3.2398 MA,O 1.7169 -&NIO 1.18710 -&+IO 0.88611 AGOSTO 0.64712 SEPTIEM'RE 0.418

*, 6 *%

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 0.2892 NO(IEM'RE 0.6003 DICIEM'RE 1.0194 ENERO 2.9465 )E'RERO 7.036

6 MAR*O 8.2677 A'RI+ 2.7328 MA,O 1.4649 -&NIO 1.01910 -&+IO 0.76411 AGOSTO 0.56112 SEPTIEM'RE 0.365

*% 6 *-

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 1.1502 NO(IEM'RE 1.6593 DICIEM'RE 2.1624 ENERO 3.6825 )E'RERO 5.6976 MAR*O 6.1777 A'RI+ 3.5468 MA,O 2.5939 -&NIO 2.162

10 -&+IO 1.87211 AGOSTO 1.60312 SEPTIEM'RE 1 292

(m3s)

(m3s)

(m3s)


83/129

*- 6 *)

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 1.4042 NO(IEM'RE 2.105

3 DICIEM'RE 2.8214 ENERO 5.0835 )E'RERO 8.2366 MAR*O 9.0067 A'RI+ 4.8758 MA,O 3.4499 -&NIO 2.82110 -&+IO 2.40611 AGOSTO 2.02712 SEPTIEM'RE 1.597

*) 6 **

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 0.3522 NO(IEM'RE 0.7043 DICIEM'RE 1.1644 ENERO 3.1945 )E'RERO 7.305

6 MAR*O 8.5157 A'RI+ 2.9738 MA,O 1.6439 -&NIO 1.16410 -&+IO 0.88611 AGOSTO 0.66112 SEPTIEM'RE 0.439

** 6 ++

C++ M/- M/s+

MES1 OCT&'RE 1.0552 NO(IEM'RE 1.7433 DICIEM'RE 2.5074 ENERO 5.1995 )E'RERO 9.4546 MAR*O 10.5617 A'RI+ 4.9368 MA,O 3.2159 -&NIO 2.507

10 -&+IO 2.05811 AGOSTO 1.66412 SEPTIEM'RE 1 238

(m3s)

(m3s)

(m3s)


84/129


85/129


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87/129

#ERODO IDROL!"ICO OC$BRE NO%IEMBRE DICIEMBRE1994 1995 0.330 0.693 1.1871995 1996 0.289 0.600 1.019

1996 1997 1.150 1.659 2.1621997 1998 1.404 2.105 2.8211998 1999 0.352 0.704 1.1641999 2000 1.055 1.743 2.507


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ENERO FEBRERO MARO ABRIL MA&O 'NIO3.497 8.478 9.990 3.239 1.716 1.1872.946 7.036 8.267 2.732 1.464 1.187

3.682 5.697 6.177 3.546 2.593 2.1625.083 8.236 9.006 4.875 3.449 2.8213.194 7.305 8.515 2.973 1.643 1.1645.199 9.454 10.561 4.936 3.215 2.507

CA&DA+ES MEDIOS MENS&A+ES $#3 s%


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'LIO A"OS$O E#$IEMBR #ROMEDIO0.886 0.647 0.418 2.6890.764 0.561 0.365 2.269

1.872 1.603 1.292 2.8002.406 2.027 1.597 3.8190.886 0.661 0.439 2.4172.058 1.664 1.238 3.845


94/129

#ERODO IDROL!"ICOα

1994 1995 0.343 1.72171995 1996 0.338 1.4681996 1997 0.169 2.5969

1997 1998 0.187 3.45511998 1999 0.321 1.64761999 2000 0.232 3.2219

GENERACIN DE M

ESTACIN P+&(IOMETRICA DE

#ERODO IDROL!"ICO # (mm)1994 1995 365.60

1995 1996 304.701996 1997 524.301997 1998 297.401998 1999 528.401999 2000 441.50

(m3s)


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α

!"#e" 0.265

MODE+O D

ODE+O

E+ MO+INO

#ERODO IDROL!"ICO

1994 1995

1995 19961996 1997

+ : α

1

(QQ =

0052,0(

0052,0(

P Q

P Q

−=

−=


101/129


102/129


103/129


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106/129

E MAI++ET

# (mm)365.60 1.7217

304.70 1.468524.30 2.5969

0.00520.1481 NRO. #ERODO IDROL!"ICO

0.265 1 1994 19952 1995 19963 1996 19974 1997 19985 1998 19996 1999 2000

t (MESES)

NRO. #ERODO IDROL!"ICO1 1994 19952 1995 19963 1996 1997

(m3s)

CADALES MEDIOS

CADALES

2,+.++ !++.++ !,+.++ &++.++

+.,

1

1.,

2

2.,

!

703 8 +.++,21%+

R9 8 +.**%),)&1

5

#RECI#I$ACI!

5 (m36s)

))( t e α −

))(1481,0

))(1481,0

265,0 t

t

e

e

−

−α


107/129

4 1997 19985 1998 19996 1999 2000

MEDIA

DES%IACI!N ES$s)30

#0.0118#1.1819=

MEDIA ? DES%15.87=

0.1454269

+:

+.1&&)

+.1&,+

+.1&,2

+.1&,&

+.1&,%

+.1&,)

+.1&%+

+.1&%2

+.1&%&

+.1&%%

5 m-4-m (m36s)


108/129

MEDIA ? DES%

15.87=0.1115724

+

:

MEDIA ? DES%15.87=

0.0855990

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

+.1

5 m@4-m (m36s)


109/129

+

:

MEDIA ? DES%15.87=

0.0656721

5 m@4-m (m36s)


110/129

+:

MEDIA ? DES%

15.87=0.0503840

5 m@4-m (m36s)

5 m@4-m (m36s)


111/129

+:


112/129

MA&. 'N. 'L. A"O. SE#.0.1461989 0.1121647 0.0860534 0.0660207 0.05065150.1465156 0.1124076 0.0862398 0.0661637 0.05076120.1453736 0.1115315 0.0855676 0.0656480 0.05036550.1465535 0.1124367 0.0862621 0.0661808 0.05077430.1453523 0.1115152 0.0855551 0.0656384 0.05035820.1458042 0.1118618 0.0858211 0.0658424 0.0505147

0 1 2 3 4

MA&. 'N. 'L. A"O. SE#.0.1461989 0.1121647 0.0860534 0.0660207 0.05065150.1465156 0.1124076 0.0862398 0.0661637 0.05076120.1453736 0.1115315 0.0855676 0.0656480 0.0503655

ENSALES EN EL $IEM#O DE ES$IA'E (m3s)

MNIMOS #ROBABILS$ICOS (m3s)

&,+.++ ,++.++ ,,+.++

13 6 +.1&)1&&*&!,

)

;s #

Co'(mn :

Linear 0Co'(mn :

N (mm)

De:;t : ase e: es e=


113/129

0.1465535 0.1124367 0.0862621 0.0661808 0.05077430.1453523 0.1115152 0.0855551 0.0656384 0.05035820.1458042 0.1118618 0.0858211 0.0658424 0.0505147

0.1459664 0.1119863 0.0859165 0.0659157 0.0505709

0.0005395 0.0004139 0.0003175 0.0002436 0.0001869

MJTODO GRK)ICO

MA,O

S$ MEDIA MEDIA DES%50= 84.13=

0.1459664 0.1465058

15.87= 0.14542750= 0.145966

84.13= 0.146506

0.00161.1819= 0.1450.1452 m- (Ls)

(m3s)

(m3s)

(m3s)

m- (m3s)

.++;

1+.++;

2+.++;

!+.++;

&+.++;

,+.++;

%+.++;

-+.++;

)+.++;

*+.++;+

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

703 8 +.++1,)+%123 < +.1&,1-%+&-!

R9 8 1

5 ;s 7,:+:-.-2+2

Co'(mn T

Linear 0Co

#ROBABILIDAD (=)


114/129

145.219

-&NIO

S$ MEDIA MEDIA DES%

50= 84.13=0.1119863 0.1124001

15.87= 0.11157250= 0.111986

84.13= 0.112400

0.00121.1819= 0.111

0.1114 m- (Ls)111.414

-&+IO


0.0859165 0.0862341

(m3s)

m- (m3s)

1+.++;2+.++;!+.++;&+.++;,+.++;%+.++; -+.++;)+.++;*+.++;1+++

12++

1&++

1%++

1)++

2+++

22++

2&++

2%++

703 8 +.++1212%,,3 < +.111!-**2-!

R9 8 1

5 ;s 7,:+:-.-2+2

Co'(mn T

Linear 0Co'

#ROBABILIDAD (=)


115/129

15.87= 0.08559950= 0.085917

84.13= 0.086234

0.0009

1.1819= 0.0860.0855 m- (Ls)85.511

AGOSTO


0.0659157 0.0661593

15.87= 0.06567250= 0.065916

84.13= 0.066159

(m3s)

m- (m3s)

(m3s)

+.++; 2+.++; &+.++; %+.++; )+.++; 1++.++;+.+),2++

+.+),&++

+.+),%++

+.+),)++

+.+)%+++

+.+)%2++

+.+)%&++

703 8 +.+++*!+!,%13 < +.+),&,1!&2*

R9 8 1

5 ;s 7,:+:-.-2+2

Co'(mn T

Linear 0Co

#,:+:-.-2+2 (=)


116/129

0.00071.1819= 0.0660.0656 m- (Ls)

65.608

SEPTIEM'RE

S$ MEDIA MEDIA DES%

50= 84.13=0.0505709 0.0507578

15.87= 0.05038450= 0.050571

84.13= 0.050758

m- (m3s)

(m3s)

1+.++;2+.++;!+.++;&+.++;,+.++;%+.++;-+.++;)+.++;*+.++;.+%,&++

.+%,,++

.+%,%++

.+%,-++

.+%,)++

.+%,*++

.+%%+++

.+%%1++

.+%%2++

703 8 +.+++-1!--&-3 < +.+%,,,)--)-

R9 8 1

Co'(mn T

Linear 0Co'

#ROBABILIDAD (=)

+.+,+&++

+.+,+,++

+.+,+%++

+.+,+-++

+.+,+)++

703 8 +.+++,&-%1223 < +.+,+2*-+),1

R9 8 1

5 ;s 7,:+:-.-2+2

Co'(mn T

Linear 0Co


117/129

0.00051.1819= 0.0500.0503 m- (Ls)

50.306

m- (m3s)

1+.++;2+.++;!+.++;&+.++;,+.++;%+.++;-+.++;)+.++;*+.++;+.+,+1++

+.+,+2++

.

#,:+:-.-2+2 (=)


118/129

te t e #3 s.


119/129

S$

'(mn T


120/129

S$

S$

mn T


121/129

S$

'(mn T


122/129

S$

mn T

'(mn T


123/129


124/129

ue="!

"!


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caudales mínimos probabilísticos (método curva de agotamiento - modelo de maillet)

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