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Stock Trak Portfolio The All Century Portfolio: Active vs. Passive Attempts

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Page 1: Stock Trak Presentation

Stock Trak Portfolio

The All Century Portfolio: Active vs. Passive Attempts

Page 2: Stock Trak Presentation

Strategy Chosen: 70%-30% $700,000 in Assets$300,000 in cash reserve “Dry Powder” to go in and outside of speculative bets and buy insurance

The BenchMarkAll Century Portfolio20 percent total U.S stock market5 percent U.S. REITs5 percent U.S. small cap value15 percent Pacific equities15 percent European equities10 percent U.S. TIPs10 percent U.S. high yield corp bonds20 percent U.S. total bond market

Page 3: Stock Trak Presentation

“...the risk-adjusted returns are not meaningfully different whether a portfolio is rebalanced monthly, quarterly, or annually; however, the number of rebalancing events and resulting costs (taxes, time, and labor) increase significantly” Jaconetti, Colleen M, Francis M Kinniry, and Yan Zilbering. "Best practices for portfolio rebalancing." Vanguard Research, Vanguard Group (2010).

Choosing the CompositionResearch has shown that fees and taxes can take the most of the bite out of returns. Therefore, choices of ETFs with low fees for diversified exposure became important.

Page 4: Stock Trak Presentation

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (the Trust) is an exchange traded fund. The Trust corresponds to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The S&P 500 Index is composed of 500 selected stocks and spans over 24 separate industry groups. The Fund’s investment sectors include information technology, financials, energy, health care, consumer staples, industrials, consumer discretionary, materials, utilities and telecommunication services.

Broad Market: SPY

Range 209.61 - 211.29

52 week 181.92 - 212.97

P/E

EPS

Beta

6.91

30.45

1.00

210.53-0.91 (-0.43%)Apr 29, 4:20PM EDT

Bought: 205.82

Sold: 211.65

Profit: 4,660.70

Percent Gain: 2.83%

Page 5: Stock Trak Presentation

REITS: VNQ, MORT

Vanguard REIT ETFDiv/yield 0.51/3.75 EPS 21.78 Shares 339.47M Beta 0.78 P/E 3.65

Beta: 0.58500M Shares

Page 6: Stock Trak Presentation

Small-Cap:SLYGSPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth ETF (the Fund), formerly SPDR Dow Jones Small Cap Growth ETF, seeks to closely match the returns and characteristics of the S&P Small Cap 600 Growth Index. The S&P SmallCap 600 Growth Index measures the performance of the small-capitalization growth sector in the United States equity market. The selection universe for the S&P SmallCap 600 Index includes all the United States common equities listed on the New York Stock Exchange, National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) Global Select Market, NASDAQ Select Market and NASDAQ Capital Market with market capitalizations between $250 million and $1.2 billion. The Fund's investment advisor is SSgA Funds Management, Inc.

52 week 158.17 - 191.95

Open 188.93

Vol. 973.00

Mkt cap 528.34M

P/E 5.68

Div/yield 0.45/0.87

EPS 33.04

Shares 2.80M

Beta 1.17

Page 7: Stock Trak Presentation

Pacific Equities:EFADescription: exchange-traded fund. The Fund’s investment objective is to seek investment results that correspond to the price and yield performance of its underlying index, MSCI EAFE Index (the Index). The Index has been developed by MSCI Inc. as an equity benchmark for its international stock performance. The Index includes stocks from Europe, Australasia and the Far East. The Fund invests in a representative sample of securities included in the Index that collectively has an investment profile similar to the Index. Due to the use of representative sampling, the Fund may or may not hold all of the securities that are included in the Index. The Fund's investment advisor is BlackRock Fund Advisors

Range 66.43 - 66.9252 week 58.29 - 70.79Mkt cap 60.26BBeta 1.15

66.51-0.71 (-1.06%)Apr 30, 4:12PM EDT

Bought: 62.19

Sold: 67.40

Profit: 5,204.79

Percent Gain: 8.38%

Page 8: Stock Trak Presentation

European Equities: DRR, NBG

National Bank of GreeceEPS0.04 Shares 3.53B Beta 2.52 P/E 34.67

Market Vectors Double Short Euro Exchange Traded NoteShares 910,000.00 Beta-1.19

Page 9: Stock Trak Presentation

TIPS: STIPIShares Barclays 0-5 Year TIPS Bond

Bond Yield to Maturity is a proxy for investment horizon.

Div/yield -/0.74Shares 5.25MBeta 0.07

Page 10: Stock Trak Presentation

High Yield Corporate Bonds: ANGL, DHY

Credit Suisse High Yield Bond FundDiv/yield 0.02/10.29EPS 0.21Shares 99.88MBeta 0.34P/E 13.14

Market Vectors Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETFDiv/yield -/5.33 Shares 950,000.00

Page 11: Stock Trak Presentation

Total Bond Market:FLTR

Market Vectors Investment Grade Floating Rate ETFDiv/yield -/0.63 Shares4.00M Beta 0.08

Page 12: Stock Trak Presentation

Commodities Short: BNOUnited States Brent Oil FundEPS -21.71Shares 5.30MBeta 1.1952 week 17.96 - 46.68Mkt cap 128.82M

Page 13: Stock Trak Presentation

Commodities Short: DZZ

Powershare DB Gold Double Short ETF52 week 5.95 - 8.12Mkt cap 58.39MBeta -0.21

Page 14: Stock Trak Presentation

Semiconductors: AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is a global semiconductor company located in the United States, with facilities around the world. The Company offers x86 microprocessors, as standalone devices or as incorporated as an accelerated processing unit (APU), for the commercial and consumer markets, embedded microprocessors for commercial, commercial client and consumer markets and chipsets for desktop and mobile devices, including mobile personal computers, or PCs, and tablets, professional workstations and servers and graphics, video and multimedia products for desktop and mobile devices, including mobile PCs and tablets, home media PCs and professional workstations, servers and technology for game consoles.

Range 2.26 - 2.3152 week 2.14 - 4.80 Mkt cap 1.76BBeta 2.24EPS -0.73

2.26-0.02 (-0.88%)Apr 30, 5:04PM EDT

Bought: 2.86

Sold: 2.58

Profit: -1,145.75

Percent Gain:-10.01%

Page 15: Stock Trak Presentation

Consumer Staples Short:HLFHerbalifeEPS 3.39Shares 92.13MBeta 1.35 P/E 12.24

Page 16: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: Brent Crude Short

Page 17: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: S&P Emini

Bought: 2,058.17

Sold: 2068.50Profit: 3,100.00

Percent Gain:0.50%

Bought: 2,069.10

Sold: 2076.25

Profit: 1,787.50

Percent Gain:0.35%

September and June futures: designated by the commodity ticker symbol ES, is a stock market index futures contract traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Globex electronic trading platform. The notional value of one contract is 50 times the value of the S&P 500 stock index.

Page 18: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: Emini Nikkei 225

Bought: 18555

Sold: 19190

Profit: -635

Percent Gain:-3%

Page 19: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: Short Yen vs. DollarJune 15

Bought: 0.82

Sold: 0.84

Profit: -4,075.00

Percent Gain:-1.98%

Page 20: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: Short Euro vs. Dollar

Page 21: Stock Trak Presentation

Futures: Short Aussie Dollar

Page 22: Stock Trak Presentation

Mutual Funds: AAGPX

Page 23: Stock Trak Presentation

The search for yield:returns coming in too slow for the investment timeline cause managers to leverage bets in futures/Options markets

The Strategy: Passive portfolio with Active Alpha

Page 24: Stock Trak Presentation

International Malcontent(Oil Producer woes)Herbalife Court FilingsAMD EarningsFutures Contracts: timelines originally too short, quantities too large to be manageable with acceptable levels of risk

What Could Have Been Better

Increased Diversification through other markets before leveraging up. Leveraging up with other markets instead of using the Market and Currency derivatives.

Page 25: Stock Trak Presentation

Performance Metrics

Page 26: Stock Trak Presentation

Actual Performance: Before April 10th

Page 27: Stock Trak Presentation

Actual Performance: After April 10th

Page 28: Stock Trak Presentation

The Final Wrap