macarthur investor presentation draft 13a

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  • 8/3/2019 Macarthur Investor Presentation Draft 13a

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    Investor Presentation

    October 25, 2011

    Acquisition

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    Topics

    Transaction Overview

    Growing Market for Metallurgical and PCI Coal

    Macarthur Production and Growth Profile Peabodys New Australia Platform

    Next Steps

    3

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    Overview of Acquisitionof Macarthur Coal ASX: MCC

    Transaction Description Purchase of up to 100% of the shares of Macarthur Coal

    Transaction Structure Takeover under Australian securities law

    Equity Purchase Price A$16.00 per share x 302 million shares = A$4.8 billion; US$5.0 billion. = . .

    Peabody Share Up to 100% (ArcelorMittal intends to sell 40% interest)

    Financing Cash and debt

    StatusControl achieved; Offer now declared unconditionalOffer period open to Nov. 11, 2011

    Sales.

    Guidance of 5.5 5.8 Mt in FY 2012 (ending June 30)

    Growth PlatformExpanding mines and new growth projectsReserves of 286 MT on 100% basis 184 MT attributable basisResources of 2.6 BT on 100% basis (1.9 BT attributable basis)

    4

    US$ conversion assumes currency exchange of 1.04 AUD:USD; Tons shown in short tons, unless otherwise noted; Reserves and resourcesbased on Macarthur June 30, 2011 reporting using JORC basis; FY refers to fiscal year ended June 30; Ownership references and other dataabout the acquisition is as of October 25, 2011.

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    Acquisition Adds Benchmark PCI SupplyAnd Si nificant Growth Pro ects

    Creates synergies

    with existing base

    Increases access tohighest growth regions

    growth opportunities

    x en s resource ase

    for future development Expected to be

    earnings accretive

    within a year5

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    Transaction Valued on Major GrowthProfile and Lar e Resource Base

    Price Competitive With Comparable Australian TransactionsPrice Competitive With Comparable Australian Transactions

    EV / EBITDAEnterprise Value perResource Ton

    1 year forward 2 years forward

    3.00

    10.5x

    12.6x

    9.1x 9.2x10.0

    12.0

    .

    US$2.44/tUS$2.40/t

    2.50

    6.0

    8.0

    V/EBITDA(x)

    1.50

    .

    US$/ton

    2.0

    4.0E

    0.50

    .

    0.0

    MacarthurAcquisition

    AverageTransaction

    Multiple

    MacarthurAcquisition

    AverageTransaction

    Multiple

    .

    Macarthur Acquisition atA$16/Share

    Average AustralianTransaction Multiple

    6

    US$ conversion assumes currency exchange of 1.04 AUD:USD; Based on Australian market precedent transactions since 2008 involving coal assets inproduction or ramp up stage and for which consensus estimates are available; Based on consensus estimates of forward EBITDA at the time the transactionswere announced (IBES estimates); If 90% acceptance, price moves to $16.25/share.

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    The Market: Met Coal Use Expectedto Rise >500 Million Tonnes b 2020

    Global MetCoal Demand(Tonnes in Millions)

    Growth CAGR

    2010 920

    2015 1,185 ~30% ~5%

    2020 1,440 ~60% ~5%

    Global PCI Market AlsoGlobal PCI Market Also

    Growing at 5% CAGRGrowing at 5% CAGR

    7Source: Peabody Global Energy Analytics.

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    PCI in Growing Demandfrom Global Steel Producers

    PCI OverviewPCI Overview

    (PCI) a replacement for

    coke made from coking coal Steelmakers trying to

    expand PCI use to

    re uce costs Majority of high quality,

    -Australia

    -at 70% to 80% ofHQ Hard Coking Coal

    8

    Q4 settlement at $208/tonneSource: Macarthur Coal

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    Macarthur: Active Production Base WithMa or Growth Pi eline

    Producing Mines

    (million short tons) Resources Reserves Production

    Abbot Point100% Attributable 100% Attributable FY 2011

    Coppabella 214 157 65 48 2.3

    Moorvale 126 93 47 34 1.9

    BurtonNorth Goonyella

    Dalrymple Bay

    Coppabella

    EaglefieldMoorvaleCodrilla

    Resources Reserves Production

    100% Attributable 100% Attributable FY 2011

    -enn um

    Gladstone

    Vermont East

    MiddlemountOlive Downs

    Development Projects

    Codrilla 88 64 55 40 -

    WigginsIsland

    100% Attributable 100% Attributable FY 2011

    Vermont East /Wilunga

    541 466 TBD TBD -

    BTU Met Coal MinePort

    ve owns ort -

    Olive Downs South 300 270 TBD TBD -

    Exploration / Concept Projects

    9Macarthur data based on June 30, 2011 public filings; Resources and reserves shown on a JORC basis and converted to short tons.

    MCC MineMCC Development

    o en a exp ora on pro ec s prov e a ona resources o more an on ons(100% basis) or 720 million tons (attributable basis).

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    Mines Produce LeadingSeaborne Low-Vol PCI Su l

    Coppabella open-cut

    low-vol PCI product

    Produced 2.3 million tons; . m on ons

    FY 2010

    Moorvale o en-cut mine

    Produced 1.9 million tonsin FY 2011; 2.6 million

    MCC targets

    Middlemount saleabletons of 0.8 to 0.9 milliontons in FY 2012

    Macarthur Targeting Fiscal Year 2012 Sales of 5.5Macarthur Targeting Fiscal Year 2012 Sales of 5.5 5.8 Million Tons5.8 Million Tons

    Information based on Macarthur June 30, 2011 public filings and production guidance for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2012; ultimate productionand timing subject to future investments and other factors; Volumes converted to short tons.

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    Macarthur Expands PeabodysAustralian Reserve Base

    4,000

    Combined Entity has 40+ Year Reserve Life at Current ProductionCombined Entity has 40+ Year Reserve Life at Current Production

    3,435

    3,000

    Australian Reserves

    ,

    2,000

    sinMillions

    1,370

    1,185 1,005

    666 600492 440

    1,000

    To

    18596 82

    0

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    Note: Pro forma BTU reserves include Peabody and attributable reserves for Macarthur based on ownership percentages; Reserves are in millions ofshort tons and are based on most recent public filings; Peabody reserves presented on SEC basis; peer companies presented on JORC basis. 11

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    Transaction Significantly StrengthensPeabod s Position in Australia

    5760

    Australia Production

    Peabody Australia53

    45 - 50

    45

    Thermal

    Met

    proforma 2010

    production of 32 ns34

    32 32

    2730

    million tons withMacarthur

    TonsinMillio

    15

    65 4 4 3

    15 Proforma productionof 45 50 million

    0

    Xstrata

    HP/BMA

    US2015

    RioT

    into

    mer

    ican

    US2010

    Aust

    ralia

    sfarm

    ers

    ewH

    ope

    acarthur

    Vale

    itehaven

    louce

    ster

    tons y -

    given combined

    roformaBTU

    Anglo

    roformaBTU

    BTU W W

    G

    P P

    Note: Pro forma 2010 BTU production combines Peabody and calendarized Macarthur production; Proforma 2015 production based on currentPeabody growth targets and Macarthurs growth plans at time of acquisition; ultimate production and timing subject to future investments and otherfactors; Production shown in millions of short tons. 12

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    Macarthurs Production Base Expected toGrow to 10 Million Tons b FY 2014

    Peabody/MacarthurPeabody/Macarthur ProformaProforma Met Volumes: 22Met Volumes: 22 25 MTPY* by 201425 MTPY* by 2014--20152015

    13Information based on Macarthur plans at time of acquisition; ultimate production and timing subject to future investments and other factors.*MTPY represents million short tons per year, calculated using Macarthurs 10 million short ton target and Peabodys 12 to 15 million short ton target.

    Source: Macarthur Coal FY11 Annual Report; Volumes in Metric Tons

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    Macarthur: Significant PlannedPi eline of Growth

    Information based on Macarthur public filings and production guidance; ultimate production and timing subject to future investments and other factors.

    Source: Macarthur Coal FY11 Results Presentation

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    Fully Financed With Cash and Debt;Debt Levels Ver Mana eable

    PeabodysPeabodysDebtDebt--toto--Capital Ratio (%)Capital Ratio (%)

    57

    52

    60Target Zone: 40 - 60

    from cash and

    additional debtExpected

    Leverage:

    4750

    Funded leverage

    Mid 50% Range

    3740

    debt-to-cap ranges

    30

    202006* 2007 2008 2009 2010 9/2011 Post-MCC

    Haul truck at Wild Boar Mine, Indiana 15Debt-to-cap calculations above assume 100% ownership in Macarthur (ultimate funding levels and debt-to-cap percentage dependentupon ownership percentage achieved). *2006 ratio reflects proforma June 30, 2006 data used at the time of the Excel Coal acquisition.

    Sufficient Cash and Debt to Fund Macarthur TransactionSufficient Cash and Debt to Fund Macarthur Transaction

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    Macarthur Acquisition:Next Ste s

    Complete acquisition and implement transition plan

    Achieve synergies

    Operational performance Supply chain efficiencies

    Marketing/blending potential

    Improve mining plan andequipment efficiency at

    coming months vance grow pro ec s o

    build production pipeline

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    Acquisition Delivers Value Via IncreasedGlobal Access, Earnin s Ex ansion

    Macarthur acquisition expands Peabodys presencewith quality met product in high-growth region

    Provides major growth opportunities, large reservebase and significant potential synergies

    Continues global

    buildout andearningscon r u on rom

    international

    17

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    Ac uisition