ESTUDIO DE TRÁFICO Y DEMANDA APP CORREDORES CAMBAO – MANIZALES E IBAGUÉ – MARIQUITA - HONDA

PROYECTO: APP CAMBAO – MANIZALES

Bogotá D. C. Septiembre de 2013

2

CONTENIDO

1. Flujos modelados sin proyecto

2. Ajuste general del modelo

3. Flujos modelados con proyecto

4. Diferencias de flujos modelados con y sin proyecto

5. Resumen de escenarios por corredor

6. Conclusiones

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FLUJOS MODELADOS SIN PROYECTO

4

Flujos modelados sin proyecto 2020

5

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 4978 2846 481 1651 477 298 114 229 534 20152016 5130 2921 496 1713 495 309 119 238 554 2016 3.05% 2.63% 3.16% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 5282 2996 511 1775 513 320 123 246 574 2017 2.96% 2.56% 3.06% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62%2018 5434 3070 527 1837 530 331 127 255 594 2018 2.88% 2.50% 2.97% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49%2019 5586 3145 542 1899 548 342 131 263 614 2019 2.80% 2.44% 2.89% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38%2020 5738 3220 557 1961 566 353 136 272 634 2020 2.72% 2.38% 2.81% 3.26% 3.26% 3.26% 3.26% 3.26% 3.26%2021 5891 3301 566 2024 584 365 140 281 654 2021 2.66% 2.52% 1.62% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 6044 3382 575 2086 602 376 144 289 674 2022 2.59% 2.46% 1.59% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2023 6196 3464 584 2149 621 387 149 298 694 2023 2.53% 2.40% 1.57% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 6349 3545 593 2211 639 398 153 307 715 2024 2.47% 2.34% 1.54% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2025 6502 3626 602 2274 657 410 157 315 735 2025 2.41% 2.29% 1.52% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 6687 3716 624 2346 678 423 162 325 758 2026 2.84% 2.49% 3.65% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2027 6872 3807 646 2419 699 436 167 335 782 2027 2.76% 2.43% 3.53% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2028 7056 3897 668 2491 719 449 172 345 805 2028 2.69% 2.37% 3.41% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 7241 3988 690 2564 740 462 177 356 828 2029 2.62% 2.32% 3.29% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2030 7426 4078 712 2636 761 475 182 366 852 2030 2.55% 2.27% 3.19% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 7601 4169 729 2703 781 487 187 375 874 2031 2.35% 2.22% 2.33% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56%2032 7775 4259 745 2771 800 499 192 384 895 2032 2.30% 2.17% 2.28% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49%2033 7950 4350 762 2838 820 511 196 394 917 2033 2.25% 2.13% 2.23% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43%2034 8124 4440 778 2906 839 524 201 403 939 2034 2.20% 2.08% 2.18% 2.37% 2.37% 2.37% 2.37% 2.37% 2.37%2035 8299 4531 795 2973 859 536 206 412 961 2035 2.15% 2.04% 2.13% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32%2036 8461 4618 811 3032 876 546 210 420 980 2036 1.95% 1.92% 1.99% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98%2037 8622 4705 827 3091 893 557 214 429 999 2037 1.91% 1.88% 1.95% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94%2038 8784 4792 842 3149 909 568 218 437 1018 2038 1.87% 1.85% 1.91% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%2039 8945 4879 858 3208 926 578 222 445 1037 2039 1.84% 1.82% 1.88% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87%2040 9107 4966 874 3267 943 589 226 453 1056 2040 1.81% 1.78% 1.84% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83% 1.83%

IBAGUÉ - ALVARADOIBAGUÉ - ALVARADOFlujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyecto

6

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 4842 2149 533 2160 282 841 138 334 565 20152016 4970 2205 524 2241 292 873 143 346 586 2016 2.65% 2.62% -1.73% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 5098 2261 515 2322 303 904 149 359 607 2017 2.58% 2.55% -1.76% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62%2018 5227 2318 505 2404 314 936 154 372 629 2018 2.51% 2.49% -1.79% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%2019 5355 2374 496 2485 324 968 159 384 650 2019 2.45% 2.42% -1.82% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38%2020 5483 2430 487 2566 335 999 164 397 671 2020 2.39% 2.37% -1.85% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27%2021 5647 2491 508 2648 345 1031 169 409 693 2021 3.00% 2.53% 4.35% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 5812 2553 529 2730 356 1063 175 422 714 2022 2.91% 2.46% 4.17% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2023 5976 2614 551 2811 367 1095 180 435 735 2023 2.83% 2.41% 4.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 6141 2676 572 2893 377 1127 185 447 757 2024 2.75% 2.35% 3.85% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2025 6305 2737 593 2975 388 1158 190 460 778 2025 2.68% 2.29% 3.71% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 6480 2805 606 3070 400 1195 196 474 803 2026 2.78% 2.48% 2.12% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2027 6656 2873 618 3165 413 1232 203 489 828 2027 2.71% 2.42% 2.08% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2028 6831 2941 631 3259 425 1269 209 504 853 2028 2.64% 2.37% 2.04% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2029 7007 3009 643 3354 438 1306 215 518 877 2029 2.57% 2.31% 2.00% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2030 7182 3077 656 3449 450 1343 221 533 902 2030 2.50% 2.26% 1.96% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2031 7350 3141 672 3537 461 1377 226 547 925 2031 2.34% 2.07% 2.44% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56% 2.56%2032 7518 3204 688 3625 473 1412 232 560 948 2032 2.28% 2.03% 2.38% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49% 2.49%2033 7685 3268 704 3714 484 1446 238 574 971 2033 2.23% 1.98% 2.33% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43% 2.43%2034 7853 3331 720 3802 496 1480 243 588 994 2034 2.18% 1.95% 2.27% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38%2035 8021 3395 736 3890 507 1515 249 601 1018 2035 2.14% 1.91% 2.22% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32% 2.32%2036 8176 3456 753 3967 518 1545 254 613 1038 2036 1.93% 1.79% 2.26% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98%2037 8330 3517 769 4044 528 1575 259 625 1058 2037 1.89% 1.76% 2.21% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95%2038 8485 3577 786 4122 538 1605 264 637 1078 2038 1.86% 1.73% 2.16% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91%2039 8639 3638 802 4199 548 1635 269 649 1098 2039 1.82% 1.70% 2.11% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87%2040 8794 3699 819 4276 558 1665 274 661 1118 2040 1.79% 1.67% 2.07% 1.84% 1.84% 1.84% 1.84% 1.84% 1.84%

MARIQUITA - HONDA MARIQUITA - HONDAFlujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyecto

7

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 1967 997 125 845 143 344 154 66 138 20152016 2029 1023 129 877 149 357 160 69 143 2016 3.15% 2.63% 3.20% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 2091 1049 133 909 154 370 166 71 148 2017 3.06% 2.56% 3.10% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63%2018 2153 1076 137 940 159 383 172 74 153 2018 2.97% 2.50% 3.01% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%2019 2215 1102 141 972 165 395 177 76 158 2019 2.88% 2.44% 2.92% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38%2020 2277 1128 145 1004 170 408 183 79 164 2020 2.80% 2.38% 2.84% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27%2021 2341 1156 149 1036 176 421 189 81 169 2021 2.82% 2.52% 2.62% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 2405 1185 153 1068 181 434 195 84 174 2022 2.74% 2.46% 2.55% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2023 2470 1213 156 1100 186 447 201 86 179 2023 2.67% 2.40% 2.49% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 2534 1242 160 1132 192 460 207 89 184 2024 2.60% 2.34% 2.43% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2025 2598 1270 164 1164 197 473 212 91 190 2025 2.53% 2.29% 2.37% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 2671 1302 168 1201 204 489 219 94 196 2026 2.83% 2.52% 2.68% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2027 2745 1334 173 1238 210 504 226 97 202 2027 2.75% 2.46% 2.61% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2028 2818 1366 177 1275 216 519 233 100 208 2028 2.67% 2.40% 2.55% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 2892 1398 182 1312 222 534 239 103 214 2029 2.60% 2.34% 2.48% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2030 2965 1430 186 1349 229 549 246 106 220 2030 2.54% 2.29% 2.42% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 3036 1462 190 1384 235 563 253 108 226 2031 2.41% 2.25% 2.26% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59%2032 3108 1494 194 1419 241 577 259 111 231 2032 2.35% 2.20% 2.21% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%2033 3179 1527 199 1454 246 591 265 114 237 2033 2.30% 2.15% 2.16% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47%2034 3251 1559 203 1489 252 606 272 116 243 2034 2.25% 2.11% 2.11% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41%2035 3322 1591 207 1524 258 620 278 119 248 2035 2.20% 2.07% 2.07% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35%2036 3389 1623 211 1555 263 632 284 122 253 2036 2.01% 2.01% 2.03% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01%2037 3456 1655 215 1585 269 645 289 124 258 2037 1.97% 1.97% 1.99% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%2038 3522 1687 220 1616 274 657 295 126 263 2038 1.93% 1.93% 1.95% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93%2039 3589 1719 224 1646 279 670 301 129 268 2039 1.90% 1.90% 1.91% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89%2040 3656 1751 228 1677 284 682 306 131 273 2040 1.86% 1.86% 1.88% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86%

LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALES LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALESFlujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyecto

8

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 1087 705 140 242 165 52 15 1 9 20152016 1119 723 144 251 171 54 16 1 9 2016 2.94% 2.61% 3.14% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80%2017 1151 742 149 260 177 56 16 1 9 2017 2.86% 2.54% 3.05% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66%2018 1183 760 153 270 184 58 17 1 10 2018 2.78% 2.48% 2.96% 3.53% 3.53% 3.53% 3.53% 3.53% 3.53%2019 1215 779 158 279 190 60 17 1 10 2019 2.70% 2.42% 2.87% 3.41% 3.41% 3.41% 3.41% 3.41% 3.41%2020 1247 797 162 288 196 62 18 1 10 2020 2.63% 2.36% 2.79% 3.30% 3.30% 3.30% 3.30% 3.30% 3.30%2021 1281 817 166 297 203 64 18 1 11 2021 2.71% 2.53% 2.72% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 1315 837 171 306 209 66 19 1 11 2022 2.64% 2.47% 2.64% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10%2023 1348 858 175 316 215 68 20 1 11 2023 2.57% 2.41% 2.58% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 1382 878 180 325 221 70 20 1 11 2024 2.51% 2.36% 2.51% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92%2025 1416 898 184 334 228 72 21 1 12 2025 2.45% 2.30% 2.45% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 1454 921 189 345 235 75 21 2 12 2026 2.68% 2.52% 2.61% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17%2027 1492 943 194 355 242 77 22 2 13 2027 2.61% 2.45% 2.54% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2028 1530 966 198 366 249 79 23 2 13 2028 2.55% 2.40% 2.48% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98%2029 1568 988 203 376 256 82 23 2 13 2029 2.48% 2.34% 2.42% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2030 1606 1011 208 387 264 84 24 2 14 2030 2.42% 2.29% 2.36% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 1644 1034 213 397 271 86 25 2 14 2031 2.34% 2.26% 2.31% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58%2032 1681 1057 218 407 277 88 25 2 14 2032 2.29% 2.21% 2.26% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52%2033 1719 1079 222 417 284 90 26 2 15 2033 2.24% 2.16% 2.21% 2.46% 2.46% 2.46% 2.46% 2.46% 2.46%2034 1756 1102 227 427 291 93 26 2 15 2034 2.19% 2.11% 2.16% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40%2035 1794 1125 232 437 298 95 27 2 15 2035 2.14% 2.07% 2.11% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34%2036 1830 1147 237 446 304 97 28 2 16 2036 2.00% 1.99% 1.98% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01%2037 1866 1170 241 455 310 99 28 2 16 2037 1.96% 1.95% 1.94% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%2038 1901 1192 246 463 316 100 29 2 16 2038 1.92% 1.91% 1.91% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94%2039 1937 1215 250 472 322 102 29 2 17 2039 1.88% 1.88% 1.87% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%2040 1973 1237 255 481 328 104 30 2 17 2040 1.85% 1.84% 1.84% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86%

ARMERO - LÍBANO ARMERO - LÍBANOFlujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyecto

9

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 530 421 21 88 60 19 5 0 3 20152016 545 432 22 91 62 20 6 0 3 2016 2.83% 2.61% 3.81% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64%2017 560 443 23 94 64 20 6 0 3 2017 2.75% 2.55% 3.67% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51%2018 575 454 23 98 67 21 6 0 3 2018 2.68% 2.48% 3.54% 3.39% 3.39% 3.39% 3.39% 3.39% 3.39%2019 590 465 24 101 69 22 6 0 4 2019 2.61% 2.42% 3.42% 3.28% 3.28% 3.28% 3.28% 3.28% 3.28%2020 605 476 25 104 71 23 6 0 4 2020 2.54% 2.37% 3.31% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17%2021 621 488 26 107 73 23 7 0 4 2021 2.64% 2.52% 2.40% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27%2022 637 500 26 111 76 24 7 0 4 2022 2.58% 2.46% 2.34% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17% 3.17%2023 653 512 27 114 78 25 7 1 4 2023 2.51% 2.40% 2.29% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07%2024 669 524 27 118 80 25 7 1 4 2024 2.45% 2.34% 2.24% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98%2025 685 536 28 121 82 26 7 1 4 2025 2.39% 2.29% 2.19% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89%2026 703 549 29 125 85 27 8 1 4 2026 2.63% 2.50% 2.86% 3.14% 3.14% 3.14% 3.14% 3.14% 3.14%2027 721 563 30 129 88 28 8 1 5 2027 2.56% 2.44% 2.78% 3.04% 3.04% 3.04% 3.04% 3.04% 3.04%2028 739 576 30 132 90 29 8 1 5 2028 2.50% 2.38% 2.70% 2.95% 2.95% 2.95% 2.95% 2.95% 2.95%2029 757 590 31 136 93 30 8 1 5 2029 2.44% 2.33% 2.63% 2.87% 2.87% 2.87% 2.87% 2.87% 2.87%2030 775 603 32 140 95 30 9 1 5 2030 2.38% 2.27% 2.56% 2.79% 2.79% 2.79% 2.79% 2.79% 2.79%2031 793 617 33 144 98 31 9 1 5 2031 2.30% 2.26% 1.88% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57%2032 811 630 33 147 100 32 9 1 5 2032 2.25% 2.21% 1.84% 2.51% 2.51% 2.51% 2.51% 2.51% 2.51%2033 828 644 34 151 103 33 9 1 5 2033 2.20% 2.16% 1.81% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45%2034 846 657 34 154 105 33 10 1 5 2034 2.15% 2.11% 1.78% 2.39% 2.39% 2.39% 2.39% 2.39% 2.39%2035 864 671 35 158 108 34 10 1 6 2035 2.10% 2.07% 1.74% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33%2036 882 685 36 161 110 35 10 1 6 2036 2.04% 2.03% 2.29% 2.03% 2.03% 2.03% 2.03% 2.03% 2.03%2037 899 698 37 164 112 36 10 1 6 2037 2.00% 1.99% 2.23% 1.99% 1.99% 1.99% 1.99% 1.99% 1.99%2038 917 712 37 168 114 36 10 1 6 2038 1.96% 1.95% 2.19% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95%2039 934 725 38 171 116 37 11 1 6 2039 1.92% 1.91% 2.14% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91% 1.91%2040 952 739 39 174 119 38 11 1 6 2040 1.88% 1.87% 2.09% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87%

Flujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyectoLÍBANO - MURILLO LÍBANO - MURILLO

10

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20152016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2018 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2019 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2019 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2020 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2021 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2022 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2023 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2024 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2025 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2026 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2026 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2027 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2027 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2028 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2028 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2029 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2029 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2030 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2030 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2031 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2031 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2032 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2032 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2033 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2033 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2034 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2034 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2035 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2035 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2036 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2036 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2037 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2038 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2038 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2039 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2039 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2040 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

MURILLO - LA ESPERANZA MURILLO - LA ESPERANZAFlujos Sin proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Sin proyecto

11

AJUSTE GENERAL DEL MODELO

12

Tramo TPD-Mod. TPD-Obs. VariaciónIbagué - Alvarado 4704 4707 0%Alvarado - Armero 3760 3782 -1%Armero - Mariquita 4527 4075 11%Mariquita - Honda 4548 4382 4%

Tramo TPD-Mod. TPD-Obs. VariaciónCambao - Armero 848 846 0%Armero - Líbano 1029 1030 0%Líbano - Murillo 502 492 2%Murillo - La Esperanza 0 0 0%La Esperanza - Manizales 1856 1830 1%

Corredor longitudinal Ibagué - Mariquita - Honda

Corredor transversal Cambao - Manizales

Verificación general de ajuste

13

FLUJOS MODELADOS CON PROYECTO

14

Flujos modelados con proyecto 2020

15

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 4978 2846 481 1651 477 298 114 229 534 20152016 5130 2921 496 1713 495 309 119 238 554 2016 3.05% 2.63% 3.16% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 5282 2996 511 1775 513 320 123 246 574 2017 2.96% 2.56% 3.06% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62%2018 5649 3104 534 2011 581 362 139 279 650 2018 6.96% 3.62% 4.50% 13.30% 13.30% 13.30% 13.30% 13.30% 13.30%2019 5873 3190 552 2131 615 384 147 296 689 2019 3.96% 2.77% 3.33% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97% 5.97%2020 6097 3276 570 2251 650 406 156 312 727 2020 3.81% 2.70% 3.22% 5.63% 5.63% 5.63% 5.63% 5.63% 5.63%2021 6266 3358 585 2323 671 419 161 322 751 2021 2.78% 2.52% 2.63% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 6435 3441 600 2395 692 432 166 332 774 2022 2.70% 2.45% 2.56% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2023 6605 3523 615 2466 712 444 171 342 797 2023 2.63% 2.39% 2.50% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 6774 3606 630 2538 733 457 176 352 820 2024 2.56% 2.34% 2.44% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2025 6943 3688 645 2610 754 470 181 362 843 2025 2.50% 2.29% 2.38% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 7135 3781 662 2693 778 485 186 373 870 2026 2.77% 2.51% 2.60% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2027 7328 3873 679 2776 802 500 192 385 897 2027 2.70% 2.45% 2.54% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2028 7520 3966 695 2859 826 515 198 396 924 2028 2.63% 2.39% 2.48% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 7713 4058 712 2942 850 530 204 408 951 2029 2.56% 2.33% 2.42% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2030 7905 4151 729 3025 874 545 209 420 977 2030 2.49% 2.28% 2.36% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 8092 4242 746 3104 896 559 215 430 1003 2031 2.36% 2.20% 2.28% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60%2032 8278 4334 762 3182 919 573 220 441 1028 2032 2.31% 2.15% 2.23% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%2033 8465 4425 779 3261 942 588 226 452 1054 2033 2.25% 2.11% 2.18% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47%2034 8651 4517 795 3339 964 602 231 463 1079 2034 2.20% 2.07% 2.13% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41%2035 8838 4608 812 3418 987 616 237 474 1104 2035 2.16% 2.02% 2.09% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35%2036 9010 4696 828 3486 1007 628 241 483 1127 2036 1.95% 1.91% 1.97% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%2037 9183 4784 844 3554 1026 641 246 493 1149 2037 1.91% 1.88% 1.93% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96%2038 9355 4873 860 3623 1046 653 251 502 1171 2038 1.88% 1.84% 1.90% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92%2039 9528 4961 876 3691 1066 665 255 512 1193 2039 1.84% 1.81% 1.86% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88%2040 9700 5049 892 3759 1086 677 260 521 1215 2040 1.81% 1.78% 1.83% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85%

IBAGUÉ - ALVARADO IBAGUÉ - ALVARADOFlujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyecto

16

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 4842 2149 533 2160 282 841 138 334 565 20152016 4970 2205 524 2241 292 873 143 346 586 2016 2.65% 2.62% -1.73% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 5098 2261 515 2322 303 904 149 359 607 2017 2.58% 2.55% -1.76% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62% 3.62%2018 5442 2351 513 2578 336 1004 165 398 674 2018 6.74% 3.97% -0.27% 10.99% 10.99% 10.99% 10.99% 10.99% 10.99%2019 5642 2419 507 2717 354 1058 174 420 711 2019 3.68% 2.87% -1.29% 5.40% 5.40% 5.40% 5.40% 5.40% 5.40%2020 5842 2486 500 2856 373 1112 183 441 747 2020 3.54% 2.79% -1.30% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12%2021 6010 2549 514 2947 384 1148 189 455 771 2021 2.87% 2.52% 2.88% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2022 6178 2611 529 3038 396 1183 194 470 795 2022 2.79% 2.46% 2.80% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2023 6345 2674 543 3128 408 1218 200 484 818 2023 2.72% 2.40% 2.72% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2024 6513 2736 558 3219 420 1254 206 498 842 2024 2.64% 2.34% 2.65% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2025 6681 2799 572 3310 432 1289 212 512 866 2025 2.58% 2.29% 2.58% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2026 6871 2869 586 3416 446 1330 219 528 893 2026 2.84% 2.51% 2.48% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2027 7061 2939 600 3521 459 1371 225 544 921 2027 2.77% 2.45% 2.42% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2028 7251 3010 615 3627 473 1412 232 561 949 2028 2.69% 2.39% 2.37% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2029 7441 3080 629 3732 487 1453 239 577 976 2029 2.62% 2.33% 2.31% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2030 7631 3150 643 3838 501 1495 246 593 1004 2030 2.55% 2.28% 2.26% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2031 7809 3214 658 3938 514 1533 252 609 1030 2031 2.34% 2.04% 2.27% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60%2032 7988 3278 672 4037 527 1572 258 624 1056 2032 2.28% 2.00% 2.22% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%2033 8166 3343 687 4137 540 1611 265 639 1082 2033 2.23% 1.96% 2.17% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47%2034 8345 3407 701 4236 553 1650 271 655 1108 2034 2.18% 1.92% 2.13% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41%2035 8523 3471 716 4336 566 1688 277 670 1134 2035 2.14% 1.88% 2.08% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35%2036 8687 3534 730 4423 577 1722 283 684 1157 2036 1.92% 1.83% 1.96% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%2037 8851 3598 744 4509 588 1756 289 697 1179 2037 1.89% 1.79% 1.92% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96%2038 9015 3661 758 4596 600 1790 294 710 1202 2038 1.85% 1.76% 1.88% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92%2039 9179 3725 772 4682 611 1823 300 724 1225 2039 1.82% 1.73% 1.85% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88%2040 9343 3788 786 4769 622 1857 305 737 1247 2040 1.79% 1.70% 1.81% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85% 1.85%

Flujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyectoMARIQUITA - HONDA MARIQUITA - HONDA

17

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 1967 997 125 845 143 344 154 66 138 20152016 2029 1023 129 877 149 357 160 69 143 2016 3.15% 2.63% 3.20% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76% 3.76%2017 2091 1049 133 909 154 370 166 71 148 2017 3.06% 2.56% 3.10% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63% 3.63%2018 2153 1076 137 940 159 383 172 74 153 2018 2.97% 2.50% 3.01% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50% 3.50%2019 2215 1102 141 972 165 395 177 76 158 2019 2.88% 2.44% 2.92% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38% 3.38%2020 2277 1128 145 1004 170 408 183 79 164 2020 2.80% 2.38% 2.84% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27% 3.27%2021 2341 1156 149 1036 176 421 189 81 169 2021 2.82% 2.52% 2.62% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2022 2405 1185 153 1068 181 434 195 84 174 2022 2.74% 2.46% 2.55% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2023 2470 1213 156 1100 186 447 201 86 179 2023 2.67% 2.40% 2.49% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%2024 2534 1242 160 1132 192 460 207 89 184 2024 2.60% 2.34% 2.43% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2025 2598 1270 164 1164 197 473 212 91 190 2025 2.53% 2.29% 2.37% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2026 2671 1302 168 1201 204 489 219 94 196 2026 2.83% 2.52% 2.68% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2027 2745 1334 173 1238 210 504 226 97 202 2027 2.75% 2.46% 2.61% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2028 2818 1366 177 1275 216 519 233 100 208 2028 2.67% 2.40% 2.55% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 2892 1398 182 1312 222 534 239 103 214 2029 2.60% 2.34% 2.48% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2030 2965 1430 186 1349 229 549 246 106 220 2030 2.54% 2.29% 2.42% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 3036 1462 190 1384 235 563 253 108 226 2031 2.41% 2.25% 2.26% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59% 2.59%2032 3108 1494 194 1419 241 577 259 111 231 2032 2.35% 2.20% 2.21% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%2033 3179 1527 199 1454 246 591 265 114 237 2033 2.30% 2.15% 2.16% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47%2034 3251 1559 203 1489 252 606 272 116 243 2034 2.25% 2.11% 2.11% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41%2035 3322 1591 207 1524 258 620 278 119 248 2035 2.20% 2.07% 2.07% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35%2036 3389 1623 211 1555 263 632 284 122 253 2036 2.01% 2.01% 2.03% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01%2037 3456 1655 215 1585 269 645 289 124 258 2037 1.97% 1.97% 1.99% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%2038 3522 1687 220 1616 274 657 295 126 263 2038 1.93% 1.93% 1.95% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93%2039 3589 1719 224 1646 279 670 301 129 268 2039 1.90% 1.90% 1.91% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89% 1.89%2040 3656 1751 228 1677 284 682 306 131 273 2040 1.86% 1.86% 1.88% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86%

LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALES LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALESFlujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyecto

18

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 1087 705 140 242 165 52 15 1 9 20152016 1119 723 144 251 171 54 16 1 9 2016 2.94% 2.61% 3.14% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80% 3.80%2017 1151 742 149 260 177 56 16 1 9 2017 2.86% 2.54% 3.05% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66% 3.66%2018 1639 1004 218 418 186 118 36 25 53 2018 42.40% 35.28% 46.17% 60.52% 5.04% 108.67% 123.26% 2044.40% 475.81%2019 1915 1153 256 506 197 150 47 37 75 2019 16.84% 14.87% 17.82% 21.05% 5.76% 27.73% 29.19% 47.83% 41.93%2020 2191 1302 295 594 208 183 57 48 98 2020 14.41% 12.95% 15.12% 17.39% 5.45% 21.71% 22.59% 32.36% 29.54%2021 2250 1335 303 613 214 189 59 50 101 2021 2.71% 2.52% 2.64% 3.16% 3.16% 3.16% 3.16% 3.16% 3.16%2022 2310 1368 311 632 221 195 61 51 104 2022 2.64% 2.46% 2.58% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07% 3.07%2023 2369 1400 318 650 228 201 62 53 107 2023 2.57% 2.40% 2.51% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98% 2.98%2024 2429 1433 326 669 234 206 64 54 110 2024 2.51% 2.34% 2.45% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89% 2.89%2025 2488 1466 334 688 241 212 66 56 113 2025 2.45% 2.29% 2.39% 2.81% 2.81% 2.81% 2.81% 2.81% 2.81%2026 2556 1503 343 710 248 219 68 58 117 2026 2.72% 2.52% 2.57% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20%2027 2623 1540 351 732 256 226 70 60 120 2027 2.65% 2.46% 2.51% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10%2028 2691 1577 360 754 264 232 72 61 124 2028 2.58% 2.40% 2.45% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01%2029 2758 1614 368 776 272 239 75 63 127 2029 2.51% 2.35% 2.39% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92%2030 2826 1651 377 798 279 246 77 65 131 2030 2.45% 2.29% 2.33% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84%2031 2893 1688 386 819 286 252 79 67 134 2031 2.36% 2.27% 2.33% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58% 2.58%2032 2960 1726 395 839 294 259 81 68 138 2032 2.31% 2.22% 2.28% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52% 2.52%2033 3026 1763 403 860 301 265 83 70 141 2033 2.26% 2.17% 2.23% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45% 2.45%2034 3093 1801 412 880 308 271 85 72 145 2034 2.21% 2.12% 2.18% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40%2035 3160 1838 421 901 315 278 87 73 148 2035 2.16% 2.08% 2.13% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34% 2.34%2036 3224 1875 429 919 322 283 88 75 151 2036 2.01% 2.01% 2.00% 2.02% 2.02% 2.02% 2.02% 2.02% 2.02%2037 3287 1912 438 937 328 289 90 76 154 2037 1.97% 1.97% 1.96% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.98%2038 3351 1949 446 956 334 295 92 78 157 2038 1.93% 1.94% 1.92% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.94%2039 3414 1986 455 974 341 300 94 79 160 2039 1.90% 1.90% 1.88% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%2040 3478 2023 463 992 347 306 95 81 163 2040 1.86% 1.86% 1.85% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87%

ARMERO - LÍBANO ARMERO - LÍBANOFlujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyecto

19

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 530 421 21 88 60 19 5 0 3 20152016 545 432 22 91 62 20 6 0 3 2016 2.83% 2.61% 3.81% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64% 3.64%2017 560 443 23 94 64 20 6 0 3 2017 2.75% 2.55% 3.67% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51% 3.51%2018 1049 709 91 250 102 73 23 17 35 2018 87.32% 59.93% 300.44% 164.83% 58.68% 256.94% 284.87% 3960.55% 959.40%2019 1309 852 125 331 123 100 31 25 52 2019 24.74% 20.29% 38.40% 32.40% 20.63% 36.94% 37.89% 48.85% 45.60%2020 1568 996 160 412 144 127 40 34 68 2020 19.83% 16.87% 27.74% 24.47% 17.10% 26.98% 27.48% 32.82% 31.32%2021 1611 1021 164 425 149 131 41 35 70 2021 2.72% 2.53% 2.62% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20% 3.20%2022 1653 1046 168 438 153 135 42 36 72 2022 2.64% 2.47% 2.56% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10% 3.10%2023 1696 1072 173 452 158 139 43 37 74 2023 2.58% 2.41% 2.49% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01% 3.01%2024 1738 1097 177 465 163 143 45 38 76 2024 2.51% 2.35% 2.43% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92% 2.92%2025 1781 1122 181 478 167 147 46 39 79 2025 2.45% 2.30% 2.38% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84% 2.84%2026 1829 1150 186 493 173 152 47 40 81 2026 2.70% 2.51% 2.54% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18% 3.18%2027 1877 1178 190 508 178 157 49 41 84 2027 2.62% 2.45% 2.48% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08% 3.08%2028 1925 1207 195 524 183 161 50 43 86 2028 2.56% 2.39% 2.42% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 1973 1235 199 539 189 166 52 44 89 2029 2.49% 2.34% 2.36% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90% 2.90%2030 2021 1263 204 554 194 171 53 45 91 2030 2.43% 2.28% 2.31% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82% 2.82%2031 2069 1292 209 568 199 175 55 46 93 2031 2.37% 2.26% 2.35% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60% 2.60%2032 2117 1320 214 583 204 180 56 47 96 2032 2.31% 2.21% 2.30% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%2033 2164 1349 218 597 209 184 57 49 98 2033 2.26% 2.17% 2.25% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47% 2.47%2034 2212 1377 223 612 214 189 59 50 100 2034 2.21% 2.12% 2.20% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41% 2.41%2035 2260 1406 228 626 219 193 60 51 103 2035 2.16% 2.08% 2.15% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35% 2.35%2036 2306 1434 233 639 223 197 61 52 105 2036 2.02% 2.02% 2.02% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01% 2.01%2037 2351 1463 237 651 228 201 63 53 107 2037 1.98% 1.98% 1.98% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97% 1.97%2038 2397 1491 242 664 232 205 64 54 109 2038 1.94% 1.94% 1.94% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93% 1.93%2039 2442 1520 246 676 237 209 65 55 111 2039 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90% 1.90%2040 2488 1548 251 689 241 212 66 56 113 2040 1.87% 1.87% 1.87% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86% 1.86%

Flujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyectoLÍBANO - MURILLO LÍBANO - MURILLO

20

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C52015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20152016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2018 505 271 70 165 58 51 16 13 27 2018 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%2019 758 406 104 248 87 76 24 20 41 2019 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00%2020 1010 541 139 330 115 102 32 27 54 2020 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33% 33.33%2021 1038 555 143 341 119 105 33 28 56 2021 2.77% 2.51% 2.73% 3.21% 3.21% 3.21% 3.21% 3.21% 3.21%2022 1066 568 147 351 123 108 34 29 58 2022 2.70% 2.45% 2.66% 3.11% 3.11% 3.11% 3.11% 3.11% 3.11%2023 1094 582 150 362 127 112 35 29 59 2023 2.63% 2.39% 2.59% 3.02% 3.02% 3.02% 3.02% 3.02% 3.02%2024 1122 595 154 372 130 115 36 30 61 2024 2.56% 2.34% 2.53% 2.93% 2.93% 2.93% 2.93% 2.93% 2.93%2025 1150 609 158 383 134 118 37 31 63 2025 2.50% 2.28% 2.46% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85% 2.85%2026 1182 624 162 395 138 122 38 32 65 2026 2.75% 2.53% 2.53% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19% 3.19%2027 1213 640 166 407 143 126 39 33 67 2027 2.67% 2.47% 2.47% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09% 3.09%2028 1245 655 170 420 147 129 40 34 69 2028 2.60% 2.41% 2.41% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99% 2.99%2029 1276 671 174 432 151 133 41 35 71 2029 2.54% 2.35% 2.35% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91% 2.91%2030 1308 686 178 444 155 137 43 36 73 2030 2.48% 2.30% 2.30% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83% 2.83%2031 1339 702 182 455 159 140 44 37 75 2031 2.39% 2.27% 2.36% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57% 2.57%2032 1370 717 186 467 163 144 45 38 77 2032 2.33% 2.22% 2.31% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%2033 1402 733 191 478 167 147 46 39 79 2033 2.28% 2.18% 2.25% 2.44% 2.44% 2.44% 2.44% 2.44% 2.44%2034 1433 748 195 490 171 151 47 40 80 2034 2.23% 2.13% 2.20% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38% 2.38%2035 1464 764 199 501 175 154 48 41 82 2035 2.18% 2.08% 2.16% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33% 2.33%2036 1494 780 203 511 179 158 49 42 84 2036 2.04% 2.04% 2.01% 2.04% 2.04% 2.04% 2.04% 2.04% 2.04%2037 1524 795 207 521 182 161 50 42 86 2037 1.99% 2.00% 1.97% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%2038 1553 811 211 532 186 164 51 43 87 2038 1.96% 1.96% 1.93% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96%2039 1583 826 215 542 190 167 52 44 89 2039 1.92% 1.92% 1.90% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92% 1.92%2040 1613 842 219 552 193 170 53 45 91 2040 1.88% 1.89% 1.86% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88% 1.88%

MURILLO - LA ESPERANZA MURILLO - LA ESPERANZAFlujos Con proyecto Tasas de crecimiento Con proyecto

21

DIFERENCIAS DE FLUJOS MODELADOS CON Y SIN PROYECTO

22

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2018 215 34 8 174 50 31 12 24 56 2018 4.0% 1.1% 1.5% 9.5%2019 287 45 10 232 67 42 16 32 75 2019 5.1% 1.4% 1.9% 12.2%2020 359 56 13 290 84 52 20 40 94 2020 6.3% 1.7% 2.3% 14.8%2021 375 57 19 299 86 54 21 41 97 2021 6.4% 1.7% 3.4% 14.8%2022 392 58 25 308 89 56 21 43 100 2022 6.5% 1.7% 4.3% 14.8%2023 408 60 31 318 92 57 22 44 103 2023 6.6% 1.7% 5.3% 14.8%2024 425 61 37 327 94 59 23 45 106 2024 6.7% 1.7% 6.2% 14.8%2025 441 62 43 336 97 61 23 47 109 2025 6.8% 1.7% 7.1% 14.8%2026 449 64 38 347 100 62 24 48 112 2026 6.7% 1.7% 6.1% 14.8%2027 456 66 33 357 103 64 25 50 115 2027 6.6% 1.7% 5.0% 14.8%2028 464 69 27 368 106 66 25 51 119 2028 6.6% 1.8% 4.1% 14.8%2029 471 71 22 378 109 68 26 52 122 2029 6.5% 1.8% 3.2% 14.8%2030 479 73 17 389 112 70 27 54 126 2030 6.5% 1.8% 2.4% 14.8%2031 491 74 17 400 116 72 28 56 129 2031 6.5% 1.8% 2.3% 14.8%2032 503 75 17 411 119 74 28 57 133 2032 6.5% 1.8% 2.3% 14.8%2033 515 75 17 423 122 76 29 59 137 2033 6.5% 1.7% 2.2% 14.9%2034 527 76 17 434 125 78 30 60 140 2034 6.5% 1.7% 2.2% 14.9%2035 539 77 17 445 129 80 31 62 144 2035 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.0%2036 550 78 17 454 131 82 31 63 147 2036 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.0%2037 561 79 17 464 134 84 32 64 150 2037 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.0%2038 571 81 18 473 137 85 33 66 153 2038 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.0%2039 582 82 18 483 139 87 33 67 156 2039 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.0%2040 593 83 18 492 142 89 34 68 159 2040 6.5% 1.7% 2.1% 15.1%

IBAGUÉ - ALVARADODiferencia porcentual con Proyecto

IBAGUÉ - ALVARADODiferencias de flujos con y sin proyecto

23

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2018 215 34 8 174 23 68 11 27 46 2018 4.1% 1.4% 1.5% 7.2%2019 287 45 10 232 30 90 15 36 61 2019 5.4% 1.9% 2.1% 9.3%2020 359 56 13 290 38 113 19 45 76 2020 6.5% 2.3% 2.7% 11.3%2021 362 57 6 299 39 116 19 46 78 2021 6.4% 2.3% 1.2% 11.3%2022 366 58 -1 308 40 120 20 48 81 2022 6.3% 2.3% -0.1% 11.3%2023 369 60 -7 317 41 123 20 49 83 2023 6.2% 2.3% -1.3% 11.3%2024 373 61 -14 326 43 127 21 50 85 2024 6.1% 2.3% -2.5% 11.3%2025 376 62 -21 335 44 130 21 52 88 2025 6.0% 2.3% -3.5% 11.3%2026 391 64 -19 346 45 135 22 53 90 2026 6.0% 2.3% -3.2% 11.3%2027 405 66 -18 357 47 139 23 55 93 2027 6.1% 2.3% -2.9% 11.3%2028 420 69 -16 367 48 143 24 57 96 2028 6.1% 2.3% -2.6% 11.3%2029 434 71 -15 378 49 147 24 58 99 2029 6.2% 2.4% -2.3% 11.3%2030 449 73 -13 389 51 151 25 60 102 2030 6.3% 2.4% -2.0% 11.3%2031 460 74 -14 400 52 156 26 62 105 2031 6.3% 2.3% -2.1% 11.3%2032 470 74 -16 412 54 160 26 64 108 2032 6.3% 2.3% -2.3% 11.4%2033 481 75 -17 423 55 165 27 65 111 2033 6.3% 2.3% -2.4% 11.4%2034 491 75 -19 435 57 169 28 67 114 2034 6.3% 2.3% -2.6% 11.4%2035 502 76 -20 446 58 174 29 69 117 2035 6.3% 2.2% -2.7% 11.5%2036 511 79 -23 455 59 177 29 70 119 2036 6.3% 2.3% -3.0% 11.5%2037 521 81 -25 465 61 181 30 72 122 2037 6.3% 2.3% -3.3% 11.5%2038 530 84 -28 474 62 185 30 73 124 2038 6.2% 2.3% -3.5% 11.5%2039 540 86 -30 484 63 188 31 75 126 2039 6.2% 2.4% -3.8% 11.5%2040 549 89 -33 493 64 192 32 76 129 2040 6.2% 2.4% -4.0% 11.5%

MARIQUITA - HONDADiferencia porcentual cambio peajeDiferencias de flujos con y sin proyecto

MARIQUITA - HONDA

24

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2018 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2018 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2019 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2019 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2020 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2020 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2021 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2021 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2022 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2022 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2023 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2023 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2024 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2025 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2026 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2026 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2027 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2027 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2028 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2028 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2029 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2029 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2030 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2030 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2031 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2031 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2032 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2032 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2033 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2033 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2034 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2034 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2035 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2035 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2036 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2036 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2037 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2037 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2038 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2038 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2039 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2039 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2040 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2040 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALESDiferencia porcentual cambio peaje

LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALESDiferencias de flujos con y sin proyecto

25

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2018 456 243 64 148 3 59 19 24 44 2018 38.5% 32.0% 42.0% 55.0%2019 700 374 99 227 7 90 29 35 65 2019 57.6% 48.1% 62.6% 81.5%2020 944 505 133 306 12 121 39 47 87 2020 75.7% 63.4% 82.1% 106.3%2021 970 518 136 316 12 125 40 49 90 2021 75.7% 63.3% 82.0% 106.2%2022 995 530 140 325 12 128 42 50 93 2022 75.7% 63.3% 81.9% 106.1%2023 1021 543 143 335 13 132 43 52 96 2023 75.7% 63.3% 81.7% 106.1%2024 1046 555 147 344 13 136 44 53 98 2024 75.7% 63.3% 81.6% 106.0%2025 1072 568 150 354 13 140 45 55 101 2025 75.7% 63.3% 81.5% 106.0%2026 1102 582 154 365 14 144 47 56 104 2026 75.8% 63.3% 81.5% 106.0%2027 1131 597 158 377 14 149 48 58 108 2027 75.8% 63.3% 81.4% 106.1%2028 1161 611 161 388 15 153 50 60 111 2028 75.9% 63.3% 81.4% 106.1%2029 1190 626 165 400 15 158 51 61 114 2029 75.9% 63.3% 81.3% 106.2%2030 1220 640 169 411 16 162 53 63 117 2030 76.0% 63.3% 81.3% 106.2%2031 1249 655 173 422 16 166 54 65 120 2031 76.0% 63.3% 81.3% 106.2%2032 1278 669 177 432 16 171 55 67 123 2032 76.0% 63.3% 81.3% 106.2%2033 1308 684 181 443 17 175 57 68 126 2033 76.1% 63.4% 81.4% 106.2%2034 1337 698 185 453 17 179 58 70 130 2034 76.1% 63.4% 81.4% 106.2%2035 1366 713 189 464 18 183 59 71 133 2035 76.1% 63.4% 81.5% 106.2%2036 1394 728 193 473 18 187 61 73 135 2036 76.2% 63.4% 81.5% 106.2%2037 1422 742 197 483 18 190 62 74 138 2037 76.2% 63.4% 81.5% 106.2%2038 1449 757 200 492 19 194 63 76 141 2038 76.2% 63.5% 81.5% 106.2%2039 1477 771 204 502 19 198 64 77 143 2039 76.3% 63.5% 81.5% 106.2%2040 1505 786 208 511 19 202 65 79 146 2040 76.3% 63.5% 81.6% 106.2%

ARMERO - LÍBANOARMERO - LÍBANODiferencias de flujos con y sin proyecto Diferencia porcentual cambio peaje

26

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%2018 474 255 67 152 36 52 16 17 32 2018 82.4% 56.1% 286.8% 156.1%2019 719 387 101 230 54 78 25 25 48 2019 121.8% 83.3% 417.6% 228.4%2020 963 520 135 308 73 104 33 33 64 2020 159.2% 109.2% 540.0% 296.2%2021 990 533 139 318 76 108 34 34 66 2021 159.4% 109.3% 541.4% 295.9%2022 1016 546 142 328 78 111 35 35 68 2022 159.5% 109.3% 542.7% 295.7%2023 1043 560 146 337 80 114 36 36 70 2023 159.7% 109.3% 544.0% 295.4%2024 1069 573 149 347 83 118 37 37 72 2024 159.9% 109.3% 545.3% 295.2%2025 1096 586 153 357 85 121 38 38 74 2025 160.0% 109.3% 546.4% 295.0%2026 1126 601 157 368 88 125 40 40 77 2026 160.2% 109.4% 544.4% 295.2%2027 1156 616 161 380 90 129 41 41 79 2027 160.3% 109.4% 542.6% 295.3%2028 1186 630 164 391 93 133 42 42 81 2028 160.5% 109.4% 540.8% 295.5%2029 1216 645 168 403 96 137 43 43 84 2029 160.6% 109.4% 539.1% 295.6%2030 1246 660 172 414 98 140 45 44 86 2030 160.8% 109.5% 537.5% 295.7%2031 1276 675 176 425 101 144 46 46 88 2031 160.9% 109.5% 540.5% 295.8%2032 1306 690 180 436 104 148 47 47 91 2032 161.1% 109.5% 543.4% 295.9%2033 1336 705 185 446 106 151 48 48 93 2033 161.3% 109.5% 546.2% 296.0%2034 1366 720 189 457 109 155 49 49 95 2034 161.4% 109.5% 548.8% 296.1%2035 1396 735 193 468 111 159 50 50 97 2035 161.6% 109.5% 551.4% 296.2%2036 1424 750 197 477 114 162 51 51 99 2036 161.5% 109.5% 549.7% 296.2%2037 1452 765 201 487 116 165 52 52 101 2037 161.5% 109.5% 548.1% 296.1%2038 1480 779 204 496 118 168 53 53 103 2038 161.4% 109.5% 546.5% 296.1%2039 1508 794 208 506 120 172 54 54 105 2039 161.4% 109.5% 545.0% 296.0%2040 1536 809 212 515 123 175 55 55 107 2040 161.3% 109.5% 543.6% 296.0%

Diferencias de flujos con y sin proyectoLÍBANO - MURILLO LÍBANO - MURILLO

Diferencia porcentual cambio peaje

27

Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones C2p C2g C3-C4 C5 >C5 Año TPD Autos Buses Camiones2015 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2015 n/a n/a n/a n/a2016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2016 n/a n/a n/a n/a2017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2017 n/a n/a n/a n/a2018 505 271 70 165 58 51 16 13 27 2018 n/a n/a n/a n/a2019 758 406 104 248 87 76 24 20 41 2019 n/a n/a n/a n/a2020 1010 541 139 330 115 102 32 27 54 2020 n/a n/a n/a n/a2021 1038 555 143 341 119 105 33 28 56 2021 n/a n/a n/a n/a2022 1066 568 147 351 123 108 34 29 58 2022 n/a n/a n/a n/a2023 1094 582 150 362 127 112 35 29 59 2023 n/a n/a n/a n/a2024 1122 595 154 372 130 115 36 30 61 2024 n/a n/a n/a n/a2025 1150 609 158 383 134 118 37 31 63 2025 n/a n/a n/a n/a2026 1182 624 162 395 138 122 38 32 65 2026 n/a n/a n/a n/a2027 1213 640 166 407 143 126 39 33 67 2027 n/a n/a n/a n/a2028 1245 655 170 420 147 129 40 34 69 2028 n/a n/a n/a n/a2029 1276 671 174 432 151 133 41 35 71 2029 n/a n/a n/a n/a2030 1308 686 178 444 155 137 43 36 73 2030 n/a n/a n/a n/a2031 1339 702 182 455 159 140 44 37 75 2031 n/a n/a n/a n/a2032 1370 717 186 467 163 144 45 38 77 2032 n/a n/a n/a n/a2033 1402 733 191 478 167 147 46 39 79 2033 n/a n/a n/a n/a2034 1433 748 195 490 171 151 47 40 80 2034 n/a n/a n/a n/a2035 1464 764 199 501 175 154 48 41 82 2035 n/a n/a n/a n/a2036 1494 780 203 511 179 158 49 42 84 2036 n/a n/a n/a n/a2037 1524 795 207 521 182 161 50 42 86 2037 n/a n/a n/a n/a2038 1553 811 211 532 186 164 51 43 87 2038 n/a n/a n/a n/a2039 1583 826 215 542 190 167 52 44 89 2039 n/a n/a n/a n/a2040 1613 842 219 552 193 170 53 45 91 2040 n/a n/a n/a n/a

MURILLO - LA ESPERANZADiferencias de flujos con y sin proyecto

MURILLO - LA ESPERANZADiferencia porcentual cambio peaje

28

RESUMEN DE ESCENARIOS POR CORREDOR

29

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 5738 6502 7426 8299 9107Con proyecto 6097 6943 7905 8838 9700Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 5438 6189 7046 7888 8691Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 5518 6282 7149 8003 8804

IBAGUÉ - ALVARADO

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

10000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Ibagué - Alvarado

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

30

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 5483 6305 7182 8021 8794Con proyecto 5842 6681 7631 8523 9343Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 5206 5950 6794 7620 8398Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 5405 6176 7054 7912 8704

MARIQUITA - HONDA

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

10000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Mariquita - Honda

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

31

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 2277 2598 2965 3322 3656Con proyecto 2277 2598 2965 3322 3656Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 2277 2598 2965 3322 3656Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 2367 2700 3081 3453 3798

LA ESPERANZA - MANIZALES

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

La Esperanza - Manizales

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

32

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 1247 1416 1606 1794 1973Con proyecto 2191 2488 2826 3160 3478Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 2191 2488 2826 3159 3476Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 2195 2493 2832 3166 3483

ARMERO - LÍBANO

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Armero - Líbano

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

33

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 605 685 775 864 952Con proyecto 1568 1781 2021 2260 2488Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 1568 1781 2021 2260 2486Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 1571 1784 2024 2263 2490

LÍBANO - MURILLO

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Líbano - Murillo

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

34

Escenario 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Situación Base 0 0 0 0 0Con proyecto 1010 1150 1308 1464 1613Con proyecto y cambio de peaje 1010 1150 1308 1464 1611Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1 1011 1151 1310 1465 1612

MURILLO - LA ESPERANZA

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Murillo - La Esperanza

Situación Base

Con proyecto

Con proyecto y cambio de peaje

Con proyecto +4G1 + RS1

35

CONCLUSIONES

36

CONCLUSIONES

La intervención propuesta hace atractivo el corredor transversal Cambao – Manizales, logrando atraer un flujo estabilizado en el año 2020, expresado en vehículos mixtos atraídos al día por tramo así:– Armero – Líbano: 944

+ 75.7%– Líbano – Murillo: 963

+159.2%– Murillo – La Esperanza: 1010 n/a– La Esperanza – Manizales: 0 + 0 %

37

CONCLUSIONES

La intervención propuesta también hace atractivo el corredor longitudinal Ibagué – Mariquita - Honda, aunque en menor medida, logrando atraer un flujo estabilizado en el año 2020, expresado en vehículos mixtos atraídos al día por tramo así:– Ibagué - Alvarado: 359

+6.3%– Mariquita - Honda: 359

+6.5%

38

CONCLUSIONES

La puesta en funcionamiento del proyecto Grupo 1 de las concesiones de 4G y Ruta del Sol 1, producen una pérdida de flujo así:– Ibagué - Alvarado: -579 -

9.5%– Mariquita - Honda: -437 -

7.5% En los demás tramos no se producen cambios

significativos a raíz de la puesta en servicio de estos proyectos.