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    COGENER TION

    in

    BELIZE

    Diversifying the Sugar CaneIndustry

    By

    Robert Tillett

    Chief Plant Engineer

    Belize Sugar Industries Limited

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    Presentation Outline

    1. Contribution of the Sugar Industry to Belize

    2. World Leaders in Sugar

    3. Rationale for Cogeneration in Belize

    4. Brief Project Description

    5. Challenges and Benefits of the Cogeneration Project

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    Key Characteristic of the Belize

    Sugar Cane Industry Private Sector Led, Owned and Managed

    Only one sugar factory processing 1.25 M tons of cane

    Belize Sugar Industries, Limited is the Cane Processor

    95% of cane is grown by independent cane farmers

    Belize Cane Farmers Association represent 9000

    Farmers

    Government regulates through the Sugar Act of 2001

    Belize is the Leader in the Caribbean: Lowest cost

    producer and highest factory efficiency

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    BSI Factory

    7000 tons cane per day

    300 tons cane per day

    10000 tons PWS

    110000 tons Commercial Sugar

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    CONTRIBUTION OF SUG R

    SECTOR

    10 yr Avg 1995 - 2004

    Numbers Employed 9672

    EMPLOYMENT

    As A Percentage of

    National Working 13.0

    Population

    As A Percentage of

    National Employment in 46.3

    Agriculture

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    CONTRIBUTION OF SUG R

    SECTOR

    10 yr Avg 1995 - 2004

    ECONOMY

    Sugar Industry Revenue

    as % of GDP 7.8

    Sugar Industry Revenue

    as % of Total Agricultural

    Production 56.9

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    CONTRIBUTION OF SUG R

    SECTOR

    10 yr Avg 1995 - 2004

    FOREIGN EXCHANGE

    EARNINGS

    USD (Million) 42.1

    % of Value of

    Domestically

    Produced Exports 26.7

    % of Value of

    Agriculture Exports 33.6

    NB: Average Foreign Exchange Earnings projected to be

    USD 44 M il li on in the next 5 yr per iod.

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    Belize: 0.12

    Million Tons

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    Belize: 0.10

    Million Tons

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    Drivers for Change

    Evolution of International Competitive

    Market

    Industry Stakeholders Vehicle for Increased

    Economic and Financial Returns

    Constant Need to Effectively Manage RiskFacing the Business through

    Strategic Development

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    Facilitators of Change

    Industry Structure

    Regulatory Framework Changes

    Power Market Liberalization

    Competitive Product Pricing

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    Towards Diversification-

    Cogeneration

    The Sugar Industry in Belize remains

    strong and viable, but is pursuing growth

    opportunities

    It has experienced Steady Cane Production

    but there is scope for increased field

    productivity

    However Need to Mitigate the Impact of

    External Shocks eg.

    Exposure to increased freight, transport andinsurance cost

    Threats to Existing Markets

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    External Market Threats:

    Successful WTOchallenge to EU

    Regime by Australia, Brazil, and

    Thailand

    Loss in revenues due to EU price

    reductions of 36% by July 1, 2009

    General Market Trend - reduce price

    but increase quality demand Previous Oversupply of Sugar to the

    World Market

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    Cogeneration will help address

    Belize Energy Sector Needs by:

    Meeting Government National Security Interest to

    reduce reliance on imported energy supply

    Fulfilling Sector Policy of Promoting Renewable

    Energy Sources

    Provide much Needed additional Capacity and

    Energy to the National Grid

    Facilitate Displacementof Fossil Fuel based Energyand Import Substitution

    Prove the IPP Model and Regulatory Processes

    Reduce Foreign Exchange Demand especially

    long-term

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    National Grids Generation Mix

    Hydro, 17%

    CFE, 63%

    D&G, 20%

    Hydro

    CFE

    D&G

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    Projected Generation Mix with

    Cogeneration

    Hydro,

    33%

    CFE, 44%

    COGEN,

    22%

    D&G, 1%

    HydroCFE

    COGEN

    D&G

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    COGENERATION PROJECT OVERVIEW

    Project is the initiative of BSI as Project Promoter

    BSI has engaged Booker Tate as the Project Developer

    Owned and Operated as a Private Sector Commercial Operation byBelize Cogeneration Energy Limited (BELCOGEN)

    Supply approximately 20% of the National Energy Demand by 2009 (15

    years commercial PPA with BEL)

    Generate Power and Steam to Supply Tower Hill Factory (20 years power

    and steam agreement with BSI)

    Commercial Operation Date December 2008

    Financed by 55% Debt and 45% Equity

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    Projected llocation of

    Capacity and Energy Production

    Grid IPP BSI Total

    Capacity MW 13.5 2.5 9.0 25.0

    Energy Supply GWh 106 18 44 168

    Time Utilization % 90

    Represent 20% of grid demand by 2009 and therefore must

    be efficient, reliable, stable base load and environmentally

    sound.

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    Project DescriptionKey Project Technical Parameters

    1.25 M tons of cane

    430,000 tons of bagasse to IPP

    585,000 tons of process steam to BSI

    Two Boilers 90 t/hr, 900 psi (64 bar), 900 deg F (480deg C)

    32.5MW Installed Capacity Cogeneration PowerPlant, this includes:

    Extracting Condensing Steam Turbine 15 MW

    Back Pressure Steam Turbine 12.5 MW

    Two Parallel HFO Generators each 2.5 MW

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    TG DG DG TG

    Metering Protection Relay Ref

    1

    2

    3

    4 5

    6

    7 9

    8 10

    11

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    Cogeneration - Environmental

    Credentials

    Positive Environmental Impact and meets

    World Bank Environmental Standards

    Reduce Air pollution from stack emissions to

    below 100 mg/normal meter cube

    No Water Pollution from Cogeneration and

    provide additional power to BSI for Water

    Treatment

    Rigorous Environmental Monitoring in

    compliance with the Equator Principles

    comprising Environmental Compliance, Social

    Responsibility and Corporate Governance

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    Challenges to Project

    Development

    Still Viewed by Many as a New Niche Sector

    Few Economies of Scale given most Plants in the 20

    50MW Range

    Significant Capital Investment, Total Project Cost US $1.4

    2.0 Million/MW

    Historically Renewable Energy Sources has not beencompetitive to Fossil Fuel Sources

    Security of Fuel Supply bagasse is largely location

    specific, while fossil fuel is a more unlimited commodity

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    Challenges to Project

    Development

    Constraints on Finance Resources

    Regulatory Process and Framework for IPP model significant learning curve also having to compete with differing

    energy sources

    BELCOGEN is an Energy Sector Power Plant,Independent of Sugar Sector Change in Mindset

    Robust Contractual Framework which Penalizes PoorPerformance

    Need Government Support and Political Will

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    CARBON CREDITS

    Carbon market undeveloped but expandingrapidly

    Opportunity to Access Clean Development

    Mechanism (CDM) Funds

    Baseline Study to Quantify Carbon Creditsand project design documents are presently

    being developed and funded by BELCOGEN

    Valuation yet to be confirmed

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    BSI Achievables

    BSI must:

    Be financially independent of BELCOGEN

    Convert in a Single Repair Season 50-60 Hz

    Be Steam and Power Efficient

    Process 1.25 million tons of cane

    Achieve 82% Overall Time Utilization

    Achieve 47 tons fiber per hour

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    Cogeneration will Strengthen the

    Sugar Cane Industry

    Provide for Value Added Income To BSI

    Provide opportunity for Sugar Industry

    Expansion to Increase Throughput and to Add

    Value

    Provide Steam Thermal Energy

    Provide Power & Electrical Energy

    Provide Investment Opportunity, Security andExpansion of Market To Farmers

    Establish Project Development Credentials

    Amongst International Financiers for future

    Diversification Initiatives

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    This has been a presentation of

    Cogeneration

    in Belize

    By

    Robert Tillett

    Chief Plant Engineer

    Belize Sugar Industries Limited

    Thanks for YourAttention!!!