primera entrega gerencia de produccion
DESCRIPTION
poliTRANSCRIPT
Semana Habitaciones ocupadas PMS N=3 SES a=0.11 16 162 15 163 17 164 9 16 165 11 14 156 15 12 157 8 12 158 17 11 149 14 13 14
10 15 13 1411 10 15 1412 11 13 14
12 14
PMS (N) 3SES (alfa) 0.1
Semana Habitaciones ocupadas VALOR SIN PMS N=3 VALOR CON1 16 160,000 104,000 2 15 150,000 97,500 3 17 170,000 110,500 4 9 90,000 160,000 58,500 5 11 110,000 136,667 71,500 6 15 150,000 123,333 97,500 7 8 80,000 116,667 52,000 8 17 170,000 113,333 110,500 9 14 140,000 133,333 91,000
10 15 150,000 130,000 97,500 11 10 100,000 153,333 65,000 12 11 110,000 130,000 71,500
120,000
PMS N=3
104,000 88,833 80,167 75,833 73,667 86,667 84,500 99,667 84,500 78,000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 140
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18Habitaciones ocupadas
Habitaciones ocupadas
x yMes Numero de capsulas vendidas Numero de cajas a comprar Rl
1 16 2 (1)2 72 9 5 3 40 5 11 4 88 11 17 5 200 25 24 6 360 45 30 7 256 32 36 8 264 33 42 9 368 46 49
10 400 50 55 11 536 67 61 12 576 72 68
Regresion Pend (m) 6.27 Inter (b) (7.67)
SED Afa 0.2Beta 0.1
x yMes Numero de cajas a comprar Numero de capsulas vendidas St
0 (7.67)1 2 16 (0.72)2 9 72 6.30 3 5 40 11.16 4 11 88 16.13 5 25 200 22.80 6 45 360 32.18 7 32 256 37.34 8 33 264 41.57 9 46 368 47.37
10 50 400 52.79 11 67 536 60.47 12 72 576 67.74
1 12 23 34 45 56 67 78 89 9
10 10
11 1112 12
CANT CAJAS PROVEEDOR 4,500 2 - 18,000 9 - 4,800 16 8,800 4,800 23 9,600 4,500 30 4,000 67,500 37 36,000 3,200 44 9,600 7,200 51 14,400 2,400 58 9,600 4,000 65 12,000 27,000 72 4,000 18,000 79 5,600 165,900 113,600
Gt Ft 6.27 6.34 -1.40 6.40 5.62 6.25 12.70 6.12 17.41 6.18 22.25 6.50 28.98 6.36 38.68 6.15 43.71 6.12 47.72 6.05 53.49 6.21 58.84 6.32 66.68
74.0680.3886.6993.0199.32
105.64111.95118.27124.58130.90
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 140
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
f(x) = 6.26923076923077 x − 7.66666666666666
Chart Title
Numero de cajas a comprar
Linear (Numero de cajas a comprar)
137.22143.53
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 140
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
f(x) = 6.26923076923077 x − 7.66666666666666
Chart Title
Numero de cajas a comprar
Linear (Numero de cajas a comprar)