calculos de ope ii

30
(LUNES) Obs Tiempo Personas Obs 0 12 0 1 12 1 2 11 2 3 12 3 4 9 4 5 8 5 6 8 6 7 10 7 8 6 8 9 7 9 10 11 10 11 7 11 12 4 12 13 5 13 14 5 14 15 8 15 16 5 16 17 2 17 18 7 18 19 2 19 SUMA 151 Minutos 120 λ 1.258 (JUEVES) Obs Tiempo Personas Obs 0 12 0 1 11 1 2 10 2 3 11 3 4 10 4 5 9 5 6 9 6 7 8 7 5:00 - 5:06 5:06 - 5:12 5:12 - 5:18 5:18 - 5:24 5:24 - 5:30 5:30 - 5:36 5:36 - 5:42 5:42 - 5:48 5:48 - 5:54 5:54 - 6:00 6:00 - 6:06 6:06 - 6:12 6:12 - 6:18 6:18 - 6:24 6:24 - 6:30 6:30 - 6:36 6:36 - 6:42 6:42 - 6:48 6:48 - 6:54 6:54 - 7:00 5:00 - 5:06 5:06 - 5:12 5:12 - 5:18 5:18 - 5:24 5:24 - 5:30 5:30 - 5:36 5:36 - 5:42 5:42 - 5:48

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Calculos de Ope II

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Tasa de Arribos

ARRIBOS(LUNES)(MARTES)(MIERCOLES)ObsTiempoPersonasObsTiempoPersonasObstiempoPersonas05:00 - 5:061205:00 - 5:061305:00 - 5:061115:06 - 5:121215:06 - 5:121115:06 - 5:121225:12 - 5:181125:12 - 5:181025:12 - 5:181035:18 - 5:241235:18 - 5:24835:18 - 5:241145:24 - 5:30945:24 - 5:30945:24 - 5:30755:30 - 5:36855:30 - 5:361055:30 - 5:36865:36 - 5:42865:36 - 5:42965:36 - 5:42975:42 - 5:481075:42 - 5:48875:42 - 5:48885:48 - 5:54685:48 - 5:54885:48 - 5:54995:54 - 6:00795:54 - 6:00895:54 - 6:0011106:00 - 6:0611106:00 - 6:067106:00 - 6:065116:06 - 6:127116:06 - 6:129116:06 - 6:129126:12 - 6:184126:12 - 6:1810126:12 - 6:186136:18 - 6:245136:18 - 6:249136:18 - 6:245146:24 - 6:305146:24 - 6:305146:24 - 6:306156:30 - 6:368156:30 - 6:366156:30 - 6:364166:36 - 6:425166:36 - 6:425166:36 - 6:424176:42 - 6:482176:42 - 6:484176:42 - 6:485186:48 - 6:547186:48 - 6:542186:48 - 6:545196:54 - 7:002196:54 - 7:002196:54 - 7:001SUMA151SUMA153SUMA146Minutos120Minutos120Minutos120 1.258 1.275 1.217

(JUEVES)(VIERNES)(SABADO)ObsTiempoPersonasObsTiempoPersonasObsTiempoPersonas05:00 - 5:061205:00 - 5:061405:00 - 5:061115:06 - 5:121115:06 - 5:121115:06 - 5:121225:12 - 5:181025:12 - 5:181225:12 - 5:18935:18 - 5:241135:18 - 5:241035:18 - 5:241045:24 - 5:301045:24 - 5:30945:24 - 5:301055:30 - 5:36955:30 - 5:361055:30 - 5:36965:36 - 5:42965:36 - 5:42865:36 - 5:421175:42 - 5:48875:42 - 5:481175:42 - 5:481085:48 - 5:541085:48 - 5:54685:48 - 5:54795:54 - 6:00795:54 - 6:00795:54 - 6:006106:00 - 6:069106:00 - 6:066106:00 - 6:0611116:06 - 6:127116:06 - 6:129116:06 - 6:127126:12 - 6:188126:12 - 6:186126:12 - 6:189136:18 - 6:245136:18 - 6:245136:18 - 6:245146:24 - 6:305146:24 - 6:307146:24 - 6:308156:30 - 6:366156:30 - 6:369156:30 - 6:366166:36 - 6:424166:36 - 6:425166:36 - 6:424176:42 - 6:485176:42 - 6:483176:42 - 6:485186:48 - 6:544186:48 - 6:544186:48 - 6:542196:54 - 7:001196:54 - 7:002196:54 - 7:001SUMA151SUMA154SUMA153Minutos120Minutos120Minutos120 1.258 1.283 1.275

Dia persona/min Lunes1.258Martes1.275Miercoles1.217Jueves1.258Viernes1.283Sabado1.2751.26

Tasa de Servicio

SERVICIOS

(LUNES)(MARTES)(MIERCOLES)(JUEVES)(VIERNES)

PERSONASTIEMPOPERSONASTIEMPOPERSONASTIEMPOPERSONASTIEMPOPERSONASTIEMPO14915014213413825126123823324335935232932934143044844144543755453454554254565563863163965174073275574474683682884183083692593692994594610411044103510571052115911331171114511441240122712431241124513651327132713671368142114351433142214561537153415581569154716601652164816431645175517241735174817371843187118241839183519411942192719321961203020332035202420342153212021632147214923502359235523532353243924412446245024412529254425562544254626732641262126512647272127322728277327722834283028372850283529222929296329302945305430583042304530413132314231393139313532303241322932473245334433523370333133313432346534323473345035613528356535513563365136453640363436443739372737493749374738453849383538473857394939563951394239394037405740394040404741574159414641654148427042224224423442524358433743704332434844624434444144524443456545414543452845674627463846304644465847354747475147204743485648564826483148274928493349284957493550375045505450485047TIEMPO (seg.)2181TIEMPO (seg.)2029TIEMPO (seg.)2060TIEMPO (seg.)2135TIEMPO (seg.)2262TIEMPO (min.)36.350TIEMPO (min.)33.817TIEMPO (min.)34.333TIEMPO (min.)35.583TIEMPO (min.)37.7001.3761.4791.4561.4051.326

(SABADO)

PERSONASTIEMPODIAS169PERSONA/MIN234LUNES1.376345MARTES1.479449MIERCOLES1.456535JUEVES1.405661VIERNES1.326763SABADO1.2668571.389591047115912491345143415471656175118471965204821452346244125482644275028632945304731373249336734553553365537523834393540294157423343414447454846244739485049795037TIEMPO (seg.)2370TIEMPO (min.)39.5001.266

Ajuste de Bondad 1DOCIMA DE HIPOTESIS Y AJUSTES DE BONDAD

Promedio = 1,26 persona/minuto

np(x)eiOiO1O2O3O4O5O6Oi00.283728.3654111213111214111110.357435.7404111211121111121120.225222.5165911101010129930.09469.4569812811111010840.02982.9789799710910750.00750.7507881089109860.00160.157688999811870.00030.02848108881110880.00000.004566891067690.00000.0006678117766100.00000.00015117596115110.00000.000077997977120.00000.0000441068694130.00000.00000.1912555955555140.00000.000055565785150.00000.000048646964160.00000.000045544544170.00000.000022455352180.00000.000027254422190.00000.000012211211

Num. ArriboseiOiOi - ei(Oi - ei)^2(Oi - ei)^2/ei028.3711-17.37301.5610.63135.7411-24.74612.0917.13222.529-13.52182.698.1139.468-1.462.120.2242.9874.0216.175.4350.7587.2552.5570.016789101112...19 => Prom=130.1954.5921.11110.40221.93

Estadigrafo de Prueba:

Regin Crtica para a=0.05 y n = 1

Como 221,93 > 3.8414 entonces Se Rechaza Ho. Se concluye que los datos no se ajustan a una distribucn de Poisson con un 5% de error.

Entonces se debe Simular para contrastar los resultados que arroja el modelo de cola

^2= 221.93^2(5%,1) = 3,8414 segn el valo r en la distribucin Chi Cuadrado

Ajuste de Bondad 2

Ajuste de Bondad

ObsPersonas

"X" ProbabilidadPxFrecuenciasfr-ft(fr-ft)^2((fr-ft)^2)/ft112LlegadasReal (f ab)Poisson212000.00050886220.000508862200.00050886220.00000025890.000508862231110.02500.00385887160.00436773383-0.02114112840.00044694730.115823318441220.04170.01463155470.01899928855-0.02703511190.00073089730.04995349385930.00830.03698531890.055984607310.02865198550.00082093630.02219627416840.07500.07011800040.12610260779-0.00488199960.00002383390.00033991167850.13330.10634563390.232448241616-0.02698769950.00072833590.006848761981060.08330.1344090650.3668573066100.05107573170.00260873040.01940888719670.09170.14560982050.5124671271110.05394315380.00290986380.019983980710780.10830.13802597560.6504931027130.02969264230.0008816530.0063875876111190.14170.11629966470.766792767417-0.0253670020.00064348480.0055329892127100.10830.08819391240.854986679713-0.0201394210.00040559630.0045989147134110.10830.06080034870.915787028413-0.04753298470.00225938460.0371607183145120.05830.03842244260.9542094717-0.01991089080.00039644360.010318021155130.00830.02241309150.976622562510.01410.00019823960.0088448124168140.00830.01214042460.988762987110.00380709120.00001449390.0011938581175120Chi cuadrado=0.3091003911182197202211322112310248259261027928829830831732933103493553663753843924024111421243104411457468479488499501151552953654555656457458559560161126211631064116510669679688691070771972773874575576677478579480181148211831284108598610878881189690791692993694595796997598399410011101121029103101041010591061110710108710961101111171129113511481156116411751182119112049107.5833333333

SIMULACION

SIMULACIONXPoissonAcumulado00.0005088620.000508862Si R x =010.0038588720.004367734Si R x =120.0146315550.018999289Si R x =230.0369853190.055984608Si R x =340.0701180.126102608Si R x =450.1063456340.232448242Si R x =560.1344090650.366857307Si R x =670.145609820.512467127Si R x =780.1380259760.650493103Si R x =890.1162996650.766792768Si R x =9100.0881939120.85498668Si R x =10110.0608003490.915787029Si R x =11120.0384224430.954209472Si R x =12130.0224130910.976622563Si R x =13140.0121404250.988762988Si R x =14