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BIBLIOTECA BANCO DE MÉXICO

JULIO 2020

ESPECIAL RECURSOS ELECTRÓNICOS #4

IOTECA DEL BANCO DE MÉXICO

Horario de atención: lunes a viernes de 9:00 a 17:00 horas

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DOCUMENTOS DE INVESTIGACIÓN DEL

BANCO DE MÉXICO 2017-2015 CON DOI

LIBROS ELECTRÓNICOS EN ECONOMÍA Y

MATEMÁTICAS


BANCO DE MÉXICO

OTROS DOCUMENTOS PUBLICADOS POR

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CONOCE LA BIBLIOTECA

http://www.banxico.org.mx/servicios/biblioteca-del-banco-mexico-

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Disyuntiva entre los objetivos de estabilidad de precios y de estabilidad financiera: determinantes de las ganancias de coordinación entre la política monetaria y la macroprudencial. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.22

Prudential Regulation, Currency Mismatches and Exchange Rates in Latin America and the Caribbean. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.21

Explaining Inflation with a Classical Dichotomy Model and Switching Monetary Regimes: Mexico 1932-2013. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.20

The Effect of Bank Credit and the Trade Patterns of Colombian Exporters. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.19

¿Todos los tipos de flujos de capital son impulsados por los mismos factores? Evidencia para México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.18

Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.17

Early Warning Systems with Real-Time Data. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.16

The International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy Rates and QE: Credit Supply, Reach-for-Yield, and Real Effects. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.15

Bank Credit Allocation and Sectorial Concentration in Mexico: Some Empirical Evidence. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.14

Equivalence between input-output and value-added economies. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.13

Matrices Insumo-Producto Regionales: Una Aplicación al Sector Automotriz en México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.12

Identificando la Sobre-Reacción del Tipo de Cambio de Dornbusch con VEC Estructurales: Evidencia en México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.11

Tight Money-Tight Credit: Coordination Failure in the Conduct of Monetary and Financial Policies. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.10

Regional Input-Output Matrices, an Application to Manufacturing Exports in Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.09

Eficiencia del Sistema de Justicia y Desempeño Económico Regional en México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.08

Variance Estimator in Complex Surveys using Linear Regression with Expansion Factor as Independent Variable. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.07

Mortgage Default in an Estimated Model of the U.S. Housing Market. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.06

Currency Mismatch in the Banking Sector in Latin America and the Caribbean. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.05

Commodity Price Risk Management and Fiscal Policy in a Sovereign Default Model. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.04

Notes to Understand Migration Policy with International Trade Theoretical Tools. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.03

Portfolio Investment Response to U.S. Monetary Policy Announcements: An Event Study Analysis Using High Frequency Data from Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.02

Labor market consequences of trade openness and competition in foreign markets. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.01

Nota: Si necesita los DOI de los años del 2018 al 2020 puede escribirnos a

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DOCUMENTOS DE INVESTIGACIÓN DEL BANCO DE

MÉXICO 2017 CON DOI


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TUTORIAL DE LIBROS ELECTRÓNICOS

https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2017.22






















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Rigideces salariales a la baja en el mercado laboral mexicano 1996-2011. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.23

Descomposición de la Compensación por Inflación y Riesgo Inflacionario en México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.22

Price-Setting in Mexico and the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.21

Changes in Inflation Predictability in Major Latin American Countries. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.20

Insurance Against Local Productivity Shocks: Evidence from Commuters in Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.19

Price Transmission in Food and Non-Food Product Markets: Evidence from Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.18

Complejidad Económica y Crecimiento Regional, Evidencia de la Economía Mexicana. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.17

You, Me and the Mean: a Semiparametric Approach to the Redistributive Effects of Transfer Programs. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.16

Regulatory Entry Barriers, Rent-Shifting and the Home Market Effect. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.15

Two Models of FX Market Interventions: The Cases of Brazil and Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.14

Price-Setting and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Mexican Economy: Evidence from CPI Micro Data. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.13

Functional Systemic Risk, Complementarities and Early Warnings. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.12

Exchange Rate Risk Premium: An Analysis of its Determinants for the Mexican Peso-USD. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.11

The Effect of Natural Gas Shortages on the Mexican Economy. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.10

Informal Sector Misallocation. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.09

The Rewards of Self-Discovery: Learning and Firm Exporter Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.08

Income Instability and Fiscal Progression. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.07

Risky Banks and Macroprudential Policy for Emerging Economies. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.06

Measuring and Understanding Trade in Service Tasks. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.05

A Functional Approach to Test Trending Volatility. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.04

Unit Root Testing in ARMA Models: A Likelihood Ratio Approach. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.03

Estimación de razón-remuestreo en muestreo estratificado. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.02

Distributional Policy Effects with Many Treatment Outcomes. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2016.01


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Informality and Segmentation in the Mexican Labor Market. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.25

Patterns of Total Factor Productivity Growth in Mexico: 1991-2011. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.24

Key sectors in economic development: a perspective from input-output linkages and cross-sector misallocation. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.23

The Blighted Youth: The Impact of Recessions and Policies on Life-Cycle Unemployment. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.22

On the pricing of defaultable bonds and Hitting times of Ito processes. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.21

Sovereign Spreads in the Eurozone: Is Market Discipline Working?. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.20

Identificación de clusters regionales en la industria manufacturera mexicana. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.19

How Robust Are SVARs at Measuring Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies?. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.18

Estimación de un índice de condiciones financieras para México. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.17

The Impact of Food Price Shocks on Consumption and Nutritional Patterns of Urban Mexican Households. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.16

Estimating the Short-Run Effect on Market-Access of the Construction of Better Transportation Infrastructure in Mexico. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.15

Uso de agregados monetarios como indicadores de la evolución futura de los precios al consumidor: Crecimiento monetario y meta de inflación. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.14

Estimaciones de la demanda de dinero en México y de su estabilidad 1986-2010, así como algunos ejemplos de sus usos. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.13

The Perils of Peer Punishment: Evidence from a Common Pool Resource Experiment. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.12

Bancarizing with Credit Cards: Experimental Evidence on Interest Rates and Minimum Payments Elasticities for New Clients. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.11

A Model of Wage and Employment Effects of Service Offshoring. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.10

The Effect of a Transfer Program for the Elderly in Mexico City on Co-Residing Children's School Enrollment. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.09

Is Trouble Brewing for EMEs?. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.08

Endogenous Trade, Nontraded Goods and Real Exchange Rate Variations. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.07

Bank Credit and Productivity: Evidence from Mexican Firms. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.06

Financial Intermediation in a Global Environment. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.05

Aggregate Effects of a Universal Social Insurance Fiscal Reform. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.04

Estimating Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies with Heterogeneous Panels. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.03

Explaining the Mexican-American Health Paradox Using Selectivity Effects. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.02

A note on the diffusion of business cycles. https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2015.01


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LIBROS ELECTRÓNICOS ECONOMÍA

Capital and ideology Piketty, Thomas

Goldhammer, Arthur 2020

The code of capital : how the law creates wealth and inequality

Pistor, Katharina 2019

Money: theory and practice

Jin Cao Gerhard Illing

2019

Economics of electricity: markets, competition and rules

Anna Cretì Fulvio Fontini

2019

Competition's new clothes: 20 short cases on rivalry between firms

François Lévêque 2019

Optimization methods in finance

Gérard Cornuéjols Javier Peña

Reha Tütüncü 2018

MATEMÁTICAS

Schism : China, America, and the fracturing of the global trading system

Blustein, Paul 2019

Meeting globalization's challenges: policies to make trade work for all

Catao, Luis Obstfeld, Maurice

2019

The Cambridge handbook of consumer privacy

Evan Selinger Jules Polonetsky

Omer Tene 2018

Global value chains and development: redefining the contours of 21st century capitalism

Gary Gereffi 2018

Nota: El boletín hace la difusión de lo que tiene la biblioteca. Si es de interés del público usuario consultar algo, pueden escribirnos y valoraremos la petición.


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MÉXICO The efficacy of hiring credits in distressed areas

2020-05 Jorge Pérez Pérez

Michael Suher

Automation technologies and employment at risk: the case of Mexico

2020-04 Alfonso Cebreros

Aldo Heffner-Rodríguez René Livas

Daniela Puggioni

Ver documentos de

investigación anteriores


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https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/docsInvestigacionAnio_es.jsp?static=y

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OTROS DOCUMENTOS PUBLICADOS POR BANCOS

CENTRALES The interbank market puzzle

Franklin Allen Giovanni Covi

Mattia Montagna Oskar Kowalewski

Xian Gu 2020

Foundations of system-wide financial stress testing with heterogeneous institutions

Alissa M Kleinnijenhuis, J Doyne Farmer, Paul Nahai-Williamson and

Thom Wetzer 2020

Quality is our asset: the international transmission of liquidity regulation

Carlos van Hombeeck, Dennis Reinhardt, Rhiannon Sowerbutts and

Stephen Reynolds 2020

How do mortgage rate resets affect consumer spending and debt repayment? Evidence from Canadian consumers

Katya Kartashova and Xiaoqing Zhou 2020

Identifying aggregate shocks with micro-level heterogeneity: financial shocks and investment fluctuation

Xing Guo 2020

The drivers of cyber risk Iñaki Aldasoro, Leonardo

Gambacorta , Paolo Giudici and Thomas Leach

2020

Eurozone prices: a tale of convergence and divergence

Alfredo García-Hiernaux, David E. Guerrero and María T. González-

Pérez 2020

Stock return comovement when investors are distracted: more, and more homogeneous

David-Jan Jansen and Michael Ehrmann

2020

Do non-performing loans matter for bank lending and the business cycle in euro area countries?

Cosimo Pancaro, Diego Moccero, Ivan Huljak and Reiner Martin

2020

Global trade in final goods and intermediate inputs: impact of FTAs and reduced "Border Effects"

Erik Frohm and Sebastian Franco-Bedoya

2020


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Capital and ideology Piketty, Thomas; Goldhammer, Arthur Harvard University Press, 2020

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: The epic successor to one of the most important books of the century: at once a retelling of global history, a scathing critique of contemporary politics, and a bold proposal for a new and fairer economic system. Thomas Piketty's bestselling Capital in the Twenty-First Century galvanized global debate about inequality. In this audacious follow-up, Piketty challenges us to revolutionize how we think about politics, ideology, and history. He exposes the ideas that have sustained inequality for the past millennium, reveals why the shallow politics of right and left are failing us today, and outlines the structure of a fairer economic system. Our economy, Piketty observes, is not a natural fact. Markets, profits, and capital are all historical constructs that depend on choices. Piketty explores the material and ideological interactions of conflicting social groups that have given us slavery, serfdom, colonialism, communism, and hypercapitalism, shaping the lives of billions. He concludes that the great driver of human progress over the centuries has been the struggle for equality and education and not, as often argued, the assertion of property rights or the pursuit of stability. The new era of extreme inequality that has derailed that progress since the 1980s, he shows, is partly a reaction against communism, but it is also the fruit of ignorance, intellectual specialization, and our drift toward the dead-end politics of identity. Once we understand this, we can begin to envision a more balanced approach to economics and politics. Piketty argues for a new “participatory” socialism, a system founded on an ideology of equality, social property, education, and the sharing of knowledge and power.

The code of capital : how the law creates wealth and inequality Pistor, Katharina Princeton University Press, 2019

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: A compelling explanation of how the law shapes the distribution of wealthCapital is the defining feature of modern economies, yet most people have no idea where it actually comes from. What is it, exactly, that transforms mere wealth into an asset that automatically creates more wealth? The Code of Capital explains how capital is created behind closed doors in the offices of private attorneys, and why this little-known fact is one of the biggest reasons for the widening wealth gap between the holders of capital and everybody else.In this revealing book, Katharina Pistor argues that the law selectively “codes” certain assets, endowing them with the capacity to protect and produce private wealth. With the right legal coding, any object, claim, or idea can be turned into capital—and lawyers are the keepers of the code. Pistor describes how they pick and choose among different legal systems and legal devices for the ones that best serve their clients'needs, and how techniques that were first perfected centuries ago to code landholdings as capital are being used today to code stocks, bonds, ideas, and even expectations—assets that exist only in law.A powerful new way of thinking about one of the most pernicious problems of our time, The Code of Capital explores the different ways that debt, complex financial products, and other assets are coded to give financial advantage to their holders.


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Money: theory and practice Jin Cao; Gerhard Illing Springer, 2019

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: This textbook provides an introduction to modern monetary economics for advanced undergraduates, highlighting the lessons learned from the recent financial crisis. The book presents both the core New Keynesian model and recent advances, taking into account financial frictions, and discusses recent research on an intuitive level based on simple static and two-period models, but also prepares readers for an extension to a truly dynamic analysis. Further, it offers a systematic perspective on monetary policy, covering a wide range of models to help readers gain a better understanding of controversial issues. Part I examines the long-run perspective, addressing classical monetary policy issues such as determination of the price level and interaction between monetary and fiscal policy. Part II introduces the core New Keynesian model, characterizing optimal monetary policy to stabilize short-term shocks. It discusses rules vs. discretion and the challenges arising from control errors, imperfect information and robustness issues. It also analyzes optimal control in the presence of an effective lower bound. Part III focuses on modelling financial frictions. It identifies the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy via banking and introduces models with incomplete markets, principal-agent problems, maturity mismatch and leverage cycles, to show why investors’ and intermediaries’ own stakes play a key role in lending with pro-cyclical features. In addition, it presents a tractable model for handling liquidity management and demonstrates that the need to sell assets in crisis amplifies the volatility of the real economy. Lastly, the book discusses the relation between monetary policy and financial stability, addressing systemic risk and the role of macro-prudential regulation.

Economics of electricity: markets, competition and rules Anna Cretì; Fulvio Fontini Cambridge University Press, 2019

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: This comprehensive and up-to-date book explains the economic rationale behind the production, delivery and exchange of electricity. Cretì and Fontini explain why electricity markets exist, outlining the economic principles behind the exchange and supply of power to consumers and firms. They identify the specificities of electricity, as compared to other goods, and furthermore suggest how markets should be optimally designed to produce and deliver electricity effectively and efficiently. The authors also address key issues, including how electricity can be decarbonized. Written in a technical yet accessible style, this book will appeal to readers studying power system economics and the economics of electricity, as well as those more generally interested in energy economics, including engineering and management students looking to gain an understanding of electricity market analysis.


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https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19697-4

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19697-4

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316884614

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316884614







Competition's new clothes: 20 short cases on rivalry between firms François Lévêque Cambridge University Press, 2019

Descárgalo aquí

Resumen: Lévêque recounts twenty revealing tales of real-life rivalry between firms across diverse industries, including wine, skiing, opera, video games and cruise liners. These entertaining and insightful narratives are informed by recent advances in economics, factoring in the many forces driving competition, including globalization and innovation. Divided into four sections, the book covers competition and the market; competition and variety; competition through innovation; and competition and equality. Read together, these stories also serve as building blocks to address the issue of whether competition between firms has entered a new era of increased intensity. This book will appeal to anyone, from company executives to consumers, who are interested in the economics of contemporary industry and want to incorporate a grasp of competition into their everyday decision-making. This book can also be used as a supplementary text in courses in microeconomics, business economics and industrial organisation.

Optimization methods in finance Gérard Cornuéjols; Javier Peña; Reha Tütüncü Cambridge University Press, 2018

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: Optimization methods play a central role in financial modeling. This textbook is devoted to explaining how state-of-the-art optimization theory, algorithms, and software can be used to efficiently solve problems in computational finance. It discusses some classical mean–variance portfolio optimization models as well as more modern developments such as models for optimal trade execution and dynamic portfolio allocation with transaction costs and taxes. Chapters discussing the theory and efficient solution methods for the main classes of optimization problems alternate with chapters discussing their use in the modeling and solution of central problems in mathematical finance. This book will be interesting and useful for students, academics, and practitioners with a background in mathematics, operations research, or financial engineering. The second edition includes new examples and exercises as well as a more detailed discussion of mean–variance optimization, multi-period models, and additional material to highlight the relevance to finance.


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i.html

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108562546

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108562546

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781107297340

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781107297340






LIBROS ELECTRÓNICOS MATEMÁTICAS

Schism : China, America, and the fracturing of the global trading system Blustein, Paul CIGI, 2019

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 was heralded as historic, and for good reason: the world's most populous nation was joining the rule-based system that has governed international commerce since World War II. But the full ramifications of that event are only now becoming apparent, as the Chinese economic juggernaut has evolved in unanticipated and profoundly troublesome ways. In this book, journalist Paul Blustein chronicles the contentious process resulting in China's WTO membership and the transformative changes that followed, both good and bad – for China, for its trading partners, and for the global trading system as a whole. The book recounts how China opened its markets and underwent far-reaching reforms that fuelled its economic takeoff, but then adopted policies – a cheap currency and heavy-handed state intervention – that unfairly disadvantaged foreign competitors and circumvented WTO rules. Events took a potentially catastrophic turn in 2018 with the eruption of a trade war between China and the United States, which has brought the trading system to a breaking point. Regardless of how the latest confrontation unfolds, the world will be grappling for decades with the challenges posed by China Inc.

Meeting globalization's challenges: policies to make trade work for all Catao, Luis; Obstfeld, Maurice Princeton University Press, 2019

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: Leading economists propose solutions to the problems of globalizationGlobalization has expanded economic opportunities throughout the world, but it has also left many people feeling dispossessed, disenfranchised, and angry. Luís Catão and Maurice Obstfeld bring together some of today's top economists to assess the benefits, costs, and daunting policy challenges of globalization. This timely and accessible book combines incisive analyses of the anatomy of globalization with innovative and practical policy ideas that can help to make it work better for everyone.Meeting Globalization's Challenges draws on new research to examine the channels through which international trade and the diffusion of technology have enhanced the wealth of nations while also producing unequal benefits within and across countries. The book provides needed perspectives on the complex interplay of trade, deindustrialization, inequality, and the troubling surge of nationalism and populism—perspectives that are essential for crafting sound economic policies. The book also explores how to design social insurance policies that can mitigate the risks posed by automation and offshoring, such as mass unemployment and its inherent dangers to democracy. With a foreword by International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde and a history-rich synthesis by Catão and Obstfeld of main policy takeaways, Meeting Globalization's Challenges features contributions by Ufuk Akcigit, Edward Alden, François Bourguignon, Angus Deaton, Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Jeffry Frieden, Gordon H. Hanson, Keyu Jin, Lori G. Kletzer, Anne Krueger, Paul Krugman, Nina Pavcnik, Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, Dani Rodrik, Michael Trebilcock, Laura D. Tyson, Martin Wolf, and Ernesto Zedillo.


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LIBROS ELECTRÓNICOS MATEMÁTICAS

The Cambridge handbook of consumer privacy Edited by Evan Selinger; Jules Polonetsky; Omer Tene Cambridge University Press, 2018

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: Businesses are rushing to collect personal data to fuel surging demand. Data enthusiasts claim personal information that's obtained from the commercial internet, including mobile platforms, social networks, cloud computing, and connected devices, will unlock path-breaking innovation, including advanced data security. By contrast, regulators and activists contend that corporate data practices too often disempower consumers by creating privacy harms and related problems. As the Internet of Things matures and facial recognition, predictive analytics, big data, and wearable tracking grow in power, scale, and scope, a controversial ecosystem will exacerbate the acrimony over commercial data capture and analysis. The only productive way forward is to get a grip on the key problems right now and change the conversation. That's exactly what Jules Polonetsky, Omer Tene, and Evan Selinger do. They bring together diverse views from leading academics, business leaders, and policymakers to discuss the opportunities and challenges of the new data economy.

Global value chains and development: redefining the contours of 21st century capitalism Gary Gereffi Cambridge University Press, 2018

Descárgalo aquí Resumen: Globalization has transformed how nations, firms and workers compete in the international economy over the past half century. This book by Gary Gereffi, one of the founders of the global value chains (GVC) framework, traces the emergence of arguably the most influential approach used to analyze globalization and its impacts. It studies the conceptual foundations of GVC analysis, the twin pillars of 'governance' and 'upgrading', along with detailed case studies of China, Mexico and other emerging economies as main beneficiaries of export-oriented industrialization, and addresses potential solutions to the deleterious impact of globalization on workers and communities.


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https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316831960

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781316831960

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108559423

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108559423







MÉXICO

The efficacy of hiring credits in distressed areas Jorge Pérez Pérez; Michael Suher Banco de México, 2020-05

Descargalo en la siguiente liga: DOI: https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2020.05

Resumen: We analyze the efficacy of hiring tax credits, particularly in distressed labor markets. These types of programs have proven hard to assess as their introduction at the state level tends to be endogenous to local conditions and future prospects. We conduct an empirical study of a hiring tax credit program implemented in North Carolina in the mid 1990s, which has a quasi-experimental design. Specifically, the 100 counties in the state are ranked each year by a formula trying to capture their economic distress level. The generosity of the tax credits jumps discontinuously at various ranking thresholds allowing for the use of regression discontinuity methods. Our estimates show fairly sizable and robust impacts on unemployment - a $9,000 credit leads to a nearly 0.5 percentage points reduction in the unemployment rate in the counties where the credit was made available. The attendant increase in employment levels appears to be around 3%.

Automation technologies and employment at risk: the case of Mexico Alfonso Cebreros; Aldo Heffner-Rodríguez; René Livas; Daniela Puggioni

Banco de México, 2020-04 Descargalo en la siguiente liga: DOI: https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2020.04

Resumen: Based on the methodology proposed by Frey and Osborne (2017), we use their estimates for the probability of automation of occupations together with household survey data on the occupational distribution of employment to provide a risk assessment for the threat that automation may pose to the Mexican labor market. We find that almost two thirds of total employment is at high risk of automation; slightly more than half if we only consider employment in the formal sector. We argue that, while these estimates provide a useful benchmark to start thinking about the impact that automation may have on the labor market, they should be interpreted with care as they are solely based on the technical feasibility to automate and do not reflect the economic incentives, or other factors such as the accumulation of human capital through education, to adopt automation technologies.


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