avaluacio llei 14 2015

7/24/2019 Avaluacio Llei 14 2015

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AAACI EAE DE I BE

HABIAGE BI IEA DE E EIAFIACEE

I

A 2014

E : J B, F A. T J M R

A :


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....................................................................................... 1

1. I ........................................................................................ 2

2. D .......................................................................... 3

3. ............................................................... 4

4. ....................................................... 15

5. A ....................................................................... 24

6. B ...................................................................................... 27

7. A A ........................................................................................... 29


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Resum executiu

LA H C I , .

A C . A, A H C 72.293 . D E P A INE 32.000 2007 2012 . D, C 2011, C 371.547 , 41.187 2007 2011.

E , , , , , .

A . U F 90 2000, . L , 50% 100%

. D, .

D , , , , ( ). E , .

P ,

, , , . C , , .

F, , : , . E , , G.


5/33

2

1. I

A C, ,

, . A (33%), ( ).

A , , , ,

.

D , L 18/2007, 28 , G, , , , . A , .A , A ' G C X , , ' , .

A , G G A ( 4 2014), . E , . A , , P H.

L , , , , .


6/33

3

2. D

S 4 2014,

, .

L . S, , .

L ( ) 2 . A , , , , .

Q P , 150 2, A ,

L :

P 10.000 2 : 3

6/2. P 2 10.0002 50.0002, 7

10/2.

P 2 50.0002, 1020/2.

L , , . L :

S 5 10% , 10% .

S 10 25% , 30% .

S 25% 40% , 50% .

S 40% , 75% .

E . E 850 1.650 . P 15.000

13 25 M, .


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4

3.

R

.E , , : . A .

3.1 Q

P :

L 2007 2012 2007. A .

A 1 2007 2012 E P A, .

G 1: ( )

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1519

2024

2529

3034

3539

4044

4549

5054

5559

6064

6569

7074

7579

8084

85+

2007 2012


8/33

5

A , ( 2).

G 2: ( )

S 2007 2012, ( A ), 2012 390 35 , EPA 2012 358 . A 32.000 8% C 2007.

G 3: 35

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

65

2007

2012

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

2007 2012 P 2012


9/33

6

I, , (, , , , , ), , EPA 2007 EPA 2012 1(

A ).

G 4: C

( )

1A , , .

0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4

H

C

V

D

E

E 35 49

E 50 64

E 65

ESO

PO

T JC T

T JP INDEF

T JP TEMP

N

G

L

T

2012 2007

C : B

C : T JC INDEF

C : U

C : M 35

C : N

C : S

C : D


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7

E 4 .

E , , 352, 2007. , , . A , 2007 2012.

I, .

U , , .

U ' A H

C. L 2013 72.293 , 65.707 ( , 90.9%) . A C (74.763), C E D 2011.

A , :

L . S ,

.

C ( ) , . A ( ) , .

F,

, , .

E . E 1 1.000 , 2, .

2

E , 35 . E , , , .


11/33

8

1: D 1.000

2: D ,

(6.19,36.79](2.32,6.19](0.81,2.32](0;0.81]0

(5000,30000](1000,5000](100,1000](0,100]0


12/33

9

3.2 Q

E C 2011 I N E

448.356 C, 371.547 . D , 238.060 , 64.1% . 41.187 2007 2011, 23.006 ( T 1).

1: E C, 2011

A

%

A 1900 12.271 11.555 23.826 48.5%

D 1900 1920 4.374 9.320 13.694 68.1%

D 1921 1940 4.483 13.145 17.628 74.6%

D 1941 1950 4.916 9.545 14.461 66.0%

D 1951 1960 7.520 22.051 29.571 74.6%

D 1961 1970 13.794 49.502 63.296 78.2%

D 1971 1980 24.045 48.537 72.581 66.9%

D 1981 1990 14.661 15.378 30.039 51.2%

D 1991 2001 14.673 21.071 35.745 58.9%

D 2002 2006 14.568 14.951 29.519 50.6%

D 2007 2011 18.181 23.006 41.187 55.9%

133.487 238.060 371.547 64.1%

F: C 2011

E , , 1970, 2007 2011 , , .


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10

3: H

4: H 1970,

(135.42,3432.75](47.61,135.42](6.45,47.61][0,6.45]No data

(718.71,25389.44](223.5,718.71](63.98,223.5][0,63.98]

No data


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11

5: H 2007 2011,

6:

(221.09,4999.48](89.28,221.09](25.09,89.28][0,25.09]No data

(0,13;0,60](0,9;0,13](0,6;0,9]

[0;0,6]Sense dades


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12

7: 1970

8: 2007 2011

(0,7;0,47](0,5;0,7](0,3;0,5][0;0,3]Sense dades

(0,2;0,129](0,1;0,2]

(0,0;0,1][0;0,0]Sense dades


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13

9:

10: 2007 2011

(0,19;0,54](0,14;0,19](0,9;0,14][0;0,9]Sense dades

(0,3;0,132]

(0,1;0,3]

(0,1;0,1][0;0,1]Sense dades


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14

E :

E M F 31 2012 C 87.730 , 15.0% .

LI S I R E C B, C 2012 103.796, 12.8% .

LE C A H C , 1 2007 31 2012 79.331 .

L I A 2014 2013, C 31.852 43.568 , 18.486 25.441 P D H, , 150 2 , , . T , 13.801 18.200 .


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15

4.

4.1 P ?

E ( ) (, ), .

E 5 . L , , . P , , . C

.

G 5:

S ( , , , , ), :


19/33

16

G 6: E

Q , . A ,

, 6.

G 7: E


20/33

17

L (P, 2009) . E ,

.

A , / :

1. E : M (2013) , , . N 2011

.

G 8: E E (, 2013)

2. : (S, 2011). D , ( 25% , 2013, M,2013), . A , , , , , .


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18

3. : E , ,

. E , , .

E 9 12 C. E 9 , , 1970 ( 2011) ( 2013;

3.1). J , C, 33%, ( ).C , , . P, B, LH L, C, S C V SA B ( , , ).

G 9: H 1970 (2011)

(2013) (

B)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

Nmerod'habitatgesbuitsconstruts

ambposterioritata1970

0 1000 2000 3000Nmero de persones registrades com a demandants d'habitatge social


22/33

19

E 10, , 1970 . A

( 10 5.000). S , , , .D , : , . L G 11, ( 2001).

G 10: 1970 (2011)

(2013)

-100

0

10

0

200

-10 0 10 20 -10 0 10 20

Alta Baixa

Rtiod'HabitatgeBuitIndex0=44.6

3

Rtio de demanda Index 0 = 4.66


23/33

20

G 11: 2002 (2011)

(2013)

4. E : U

, (CB, BBVA, S, S P), SAREB 25.5% 2013 (M, 2013). L : , . T, 2012 , .

A , , . A , , . F ( ) , ,

, .

-20

0

20

40

60

-10 0 10 20 -10 0 10 20

Alta Baixa

Rtiod'HabitatgeBuitIndex0=19.0

5

Rtio de demanda Index 0 = 4.66


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21

4.2 ?

L

:

D (M (2012). E , , , , . , , , . E, , , : , ,

, , . D , 5% .

A , . D, (L (2008), W F (2011)) . A, ,

. F, , , (I S (2006), M B (2008), E . (2013) K .(2013)). E , , . P , .

L , . S ( ), .


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22

4.3 T

P

(, ) ( ( ). E , G , . A ,

. A , ,

L (T ).

E . E : . A, , .

F, , , ( , , ).

U , . C , . P , ,

. E , , .


26/33

23

T , , , (

). E , , .

A , . P, , , , , .

P , ,

, , . C , , ( ).

F, , : , . E , , G.


27/33

24

5. A

E

: . A 2 (W S (2010)).

2:

D

I

D E '

T ' R '

D D

E R

D ' '

R '

I

I

R 'IVA '

P A '

S ' C '

C A '

A ' A

A

A '

O '

C

L . E ( ), ( ) , . A , , , (S (2002), F (2006) F (2011)),

. P , , ,


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25

. T, B D (1982) F W (1983) , , .

E , , , . E , , , , , , .

L , , , .

E , . C , , , , 3.

A , F B (2012), ' (1998). L . L : ,

, , , , . C , .E 4 .

U 2013 , 50% , 100% . D,

' .

F, B P (2006) , , E. P , . E , (

3L (, 2000, B

Y, 2006 G R, 2012). P , (L G, 1992, L , 1994)

4C , , (G, B. H, H. , 2004, S ., 2008, W FP , 2013, S S 2014).


29/33

26

) , , .

E . E , :

, . F, , 7 10%.A .


30/33

27

6. B

B, C. P, J. (2007) E

, E E A.

B, F. (2012): I ? E F , P

B, K A D, . 1982. D H A W?W, D.C.: B I.

E, I. . (2013). D ? J U E 74: 5970.

F, G. (2006). T I V, TD, F P S P N H. L E 13 (2006) 747771

F, T . (2012). W I A A O M? W P 1123R, F R B C

F, J D H. W, . 1983. T G H E. BH, C.: S P

G, B. H, H. (2004): N T U D P P G: D V H P L L, IJ U R R 28 (4), 919929

I, D. S, G. (2006). T . H S, . 21(6): 851866.

K, C. . (2013). A L A I F N . J R C D 2013 50: 359389

L, K (2008). F : . F R B B, C A D P N 200801.

M, S. (2012). S ? A . E L, 117(1), 8890.

M, J. . (2011). B C. D T N 381, C E D.

M, J, R, J. (2012). W S ?S E F O, V. 1, N 3.

M, J (2013). T S : I ? S E F O, V. 2, N 5.

M, C. T. (2009). T C P N C: P ,

. C L R, V. 32: 149.


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28

M, J., & B, B. (2008). A , . WP, 27..

P, B. (2009). T B C H M: .CAEPR W P 009/2009.

Q, J. R, S. (2004). I ? W ?J E P, . 18: 191214.

S, M., & S, G. (2011). H P I P E TN. H S, 26(78), 10351057.

W, S., & F IV, T. J. (2011). T I V, TD F P S P N H.F R B CW P, 11023.

W, C. S, K. (2010). F

. I: E N H R , 15 J 2002, V,A.


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7. A A

P

, :

1) A EPA 2007, .

2) D , , , , , , ,

3) S ( ) .

4) U 35 EPA 2012, 2007 .

5) F I, 2012.

A , , :

Survey: Linear regression

Number of strata = 1 Number of obs = 140134Number of PSUs = 140134 Population size = 37896853

Subpop. no. of obs = 14499

Subpop. size = 6049090.4

Design df = 140133

F( 17, 140117) = 163.83

Prob > F = 0.0000

R-squared = 0.1777

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

| Linearized

jefe_hogar | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

hombre | .2582905 .0092353 27.97 0.000 .2401894 .2763916

casado | .1201003 .0139571 8.60 0.000 .0927445 .147456

viudo | .3881736 .022464 17.28 0.000 .3441447 .4322026

divorciado | .3566076 .0255609 13.95 0.000 .3065088 .4067064extranjero | .0312775 .0162209 1.93 0.054 -.0005151 .0630701

grupo_3549 | .175492 .0148391 11.83 0.000 .1464076 .2045763

grupo_5064 | .2365478 .0164137 14.41 0.000 .2043773 .2687184

grupo_65 | .2452466 .0183141 13.39 0.000 .2093514 .2811418

ESO | -.0556351 .0121965 -4.56 0.000 -.07954 -.0317302

PostObligatoria | -.0490051 .0137959 -3.55 0.000 -.0760449 -.0219654

jc_temp | -.0569728 .0258516 -2.20 0.028 -.1076415 -.006304

jp_indef | -.0534456 .0185623 -2.88 0.004 -.0898273 -.017064

jp_temp | -.1100663 .0301053 -3.66 0.000 -.1690721 -.0510604

no_ocupado | -.0967088 .0116331 -8.31 0.000 -.1195095 -.0739081

Girona | -.0007613 .0114798 -0.07 0.947 -.0232614 .0217389

Lleida | -.0068727 .014585 -0.47 0.637 -.035459 .0217137

Tarragona | .0047302 .0111938 0.42 0.673 -.0172094 .0266698

_cons | .151435 .0147085 10.30 0.000 .1226067 .1802634

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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C I C A

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I C,

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avaluacio llei 14 2015

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