la economia de la atencion bernardo a. huberman social computing lab hp labs

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la creacion de contenido: un cambio sorprendeunos pocos creanmuchos consumenla explocion de la informacion

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y una escases de atencionla atencion es lo que ahora tiene valor.

donde fluye la atencion, el dinero la sigue (Kevin Kelly).

cualquier cosa menos la atencion puede ser fabricada en masa.

las marcas premium tienen valor porque llaman la atencion.

Preguntas:

cual es el rol que la novedad y la popularidad juegan en crear atencion?

como optimizar el valor informativo cuando se accede a los medios

cuales son las caracteristicas de una economia de la atencion?

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information poor environments

no problem

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1 million users of digg.com

the allocation of attention among items is universal (digg, youtube, etc)

lognormal, as predicted

distribution of digg numbers of 29684 stories

F. Wu and B. Huberman, “Novelty and collective attention,” Proc. Natl. Acad. USA, Vol.105, 17599 (2007)

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attention - the temporal dimension• we share with others what captures our attention

• and when it fades we search for novel experiences

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how does novelty interact with collective attention?

in a highly nonlinear but predictable way

1))(1( ttt NtrN

novelty decays in predictable ways

9 April 19, 2023

attention half-life : 69minutes

1))(1( ttt NtrN

]4.0exp[~)( 4.0ttr

Digg

predicting the popularity of online content

G. Szabo and B. A. Huberman, to appear: Communications of the ACM, 2009

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drivers of attention: popularity versus novelty

rt = e−αtβ

the larger beta the faster novelty fades

O1----novelty

O2----popularity

F. Wu and B. Huberman, Proceedings of the ACM e-commerce conf. 2008

a mechanism for dynamically configuring websites

By measuring the popularity of any content/link, and novelty decay, we maximize attention to online sites with dynamic content.

i-catcher:

social networks that matter• scholars, politicians and advertisers value social networks• but often the linked structures do not reveal actual

interactions• intimate networks – the result of a scarcity of attention

a study of twitter- B. A. Huberman, D. M. Romero and F. Wu, First Monday Vol. 14 (2009)

number of friends as a function of the number of followees. friend: person whom a user has directed at least two posts to

Friendleeambient awareness of intimate social

relationships

• To stay in close touch with people close to you (family, close friends etc.)

• Intimate phone-based social network automatically identified and ordered by closeness of connections

• Share personal context (availability, status, location, local time, weather, etc.)

• Browse connections of close contacts

• Search for and get recommendations for people and businesses from trusted social network

• Lean and compelling interface to maintain real-life social contacts

Social Computing Lab

Prototype on Android (also exists for Windows Mobile 6)A. Ankolekar et al. Mobile HCI 2009

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crowdsourcing and attention

the tragedy of the digital commons (Adar and Huberman -2000)

rational for individuals not to upload content and free ride on the production of others.

jointness of supply

but if everyone reasons this way no content is produced

a puzzle: content provision persists at levels hard to understand

examples: digg, youtube, flickr, wikipedia, etc.

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the value of attentionan insightful experimentB. A. Huberman, C. Loch and A. Onculer, Social Psychology Quarterly, Vol. 67, 103 (2004).

a study of 10 million videos submitted by .5 million users to youtube

Results:

1.productivity exhibits strong positive dependence on attention

2.producers compare themselves to others when having low productivity

3.and to themselves to themselves above a threshold

B. A. Huberman, D. M. Romero and F. Wu, In press, Journal of Information Science(2009)

4. productivity is highly skewed (do to feedback effects) F. Wu, D. Wilkinson and B. A. Huberman, Proceedings of the 2009 International Conference on Social

Computing, (2009).

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lack of attention and productivity

average number of views vs. i’th to last video. The origin represents

the last video. The average number of views decreases linearly

as contributors approach their last video with correlation of 0.90

9,896,816 videos submitted by 579,471 users

attention and reciprocityreciprocity plays an important role in economic exchanges.

it also plays a role in the attention economy

Twitter: 90 percent of a user’s friends reciprocate attention by being friends of the user as well

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attention

Question 1: of the millions of videos uploaded to Youtube, how likely are any of these to achieve a great level of attention?

and since “persistence is strongly correlated with success”

Question 2: how does persistent uploading increase the chances of success?

seeking getting

persistence increases quality

10 million video uploads to Youtube

but not the likelihood of success

red: conditional success probability of Youtube producers.

h(k)

blue : conditional success probability for a lottery with 0.01 success

th' theuploaded still and video1 in the failed whoproducers ofnumber

th' with thesucceded and video1 in the failed whoproducers ofnumber )(

kk

kkkh

the persistence paradox

red: producers uploading to Youtube

blue: producers participating in a lottery with 0.01 chances

“how did you know which ticket to buy?”

“-well, I searched for a ticket that ended in 48”

-”why 48?”

“-well, I dreamed of the number seven for seven nights in a row,

and, since 7 times 7 is 48…”

confusing skill with chancean interview with the winner of the Christmas drawing for the Spanish National Lottery, the “El Gordo de Navidad”

coda

in the age of the web, attention is the valuable resource and thus the focus of a new economy

attention often overshadows financial gain

the competition for attention has consequences for expressive spaces (online content, websites)

it shifts the emphasis from content to style.

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http://www.hpl.hp.com/research/scl