mercado de hidrocarburos comex- peru
DESCRIPTION
Mercado de Hidrocarburos COMEX- PERU. Lima 28 de Septiembre de 2006. Contenido. Mercado Mundial Hidrocarburos Consumo Global de Energía Consumos de Crudo/ Reservas Consumos de Gas Natural Gas Natural/Reservas Situación del Mercado Nacional Hidrocarburos Demanda Crudo / Productos - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
-
Mercado de HidrocarburosCOMEX- PERU
Lima28 de Septiembre de 2006
-
Contenido Mercado Mundial HidrocarburosConsumo Global de EnergaConsumos de Crudo/ ReservasConsumos de Gas NaturalGas Natural/Reservas Situacin del Mercado Nacional HidrocarburosDemanda Crudo / ProductosReservas de crudo y gas naturalInversiones Balanza de hidrocarburosConclusiones
-
Consumo Global de Energa (1)HistoriaProyeccionesQuadrillion = quad = 1015 BTU1 Bb= 5.4536*106 BTU a 35o APIEl crecimiento anual de energa es el resultado de fuertes crecimientos econmicos en pases no desarrollados.En el perodo 2003- 2030 el consumo de energa incrementar 71%. Los combustibles fsiles suministran la mayor parte de la energa.42172271%
Grfico1
180103
185124
200147
212154
230170
234.3186.4
256.1253.6
269.9293.5
281.6331.4
294.5370.9
308.8412.8
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
Grfico2
3.7
2.8
2.6
2.4
1.8
1
%
Crecimiento anual por regiones 2003-2030
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
-
Consumo Global de Energa (2)El sector industrial ser el lder del consumoLos altos precios del crudo ralentizan el crecimiento del sector transporte.
Grfico3
149.888.752.527
1959956.929.1
22010363.133.9
246109.468.434.2
271.8119.872.234.2
295.8127.0579.3538.8
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
Grfico13
2.4
1.7
1.8
1.4
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
-
HistoriaProyeccionesCombustibles fsiles suministran la mayora de la energa global usada en el mundo, dominando el transporte y la industria.La demanda de petrleo crecer 47%Los altos precios de crudo permitirn la expansin en las fuentes que sean econmicamente competitivas
Consumo Global de Energa (3)El incremento del precio del petrleo arrastra al GN, obligar a un cambio en la matriz energtica.En el 2030 un 10% de los combustibles sern renovables.CarbnCarbn
Grfico5
1307557.52010
145.392.5752520
157.510010032.525
195142.514047.730
2351901856035
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
Grfico6
68242439
69252635
59262733
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
-
La demanda de crudo mundial crece de 90 millones de barriles en el 2003 a 98 millones en el 2015 y 118 MMBPD en el 2030, crece fuertemente sin afectarse por el precio alto 35% mayor que en el 2005.La OPEC espera suministrar 14.6 MMBPD y los no OPEC incentivados por el alto precio aportarn 23.7MMBPD que es un 62% del incremento, estimados basados en las reservas corrientes de los pases conocidosConsumo Global de Crudo (1)HistoriaProyecciones
Grfico1
41.315.95.63.866.6
47.717.77.85.378.5
48.618.485.380.3
51.7249.86.291.7
53.82710.66.898.2
55.430.111.37.3104.1
57.433.411.97.9110.6
59.836.912.78.5117.9
Pases OECD
No-OECD
Medio Este y Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
Total
MMBPD
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTALOECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTALPases OECDNo-OECDMedio Este y AfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTotal
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6199041.315.95.63.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5200247.717.77.85.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3200348.618.485.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7201051.7249.86.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2201553.82710.66.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.120203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1202055.430.111.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6202557.433.411.97.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9203059.836.912.78.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCtro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
Reservas probadas por pais 20 Top
OrdenPaisReservasOrdenPaisReservas
1Arabia Saudita264.311Estados Unidos21.4
2Canada178.812China18.3
3Iran132.513Qatar15.2
4Iraq115.014Mxico12.9
5Kuwait101.515Algeria11.4
6UAE97.816Brazil11.2
7Venezuela79.717Kazakhstan9.0
8Rusia60.018Noruega7.7
9Libia39.119Azerbaijan7.0
10Nigeria35.920India5.8
21Resto del Mundo68.1
Sub total 11104.6Sub total 2188.0
Gran Total1292.6
Resertvas Mundiales estimadas 1995-2005 Billones de Barriles
ReginReservasCrecimientoNoTotalReginReservasCrecimientoNoTotal
ProbadasReservasDecubiertasProbadas (1)Reservas (2)Decubiertas (3)(1)+(2)+(3)
OECDTotal Mundo1292.7730.2938.92961.8
Estados Unidos21.476.083.0180.4OPEC901.7395.6400.51697.8
Canada178.812.532.6223.9NO- OPEC391.0334.6538.41264.0
Mxico12.925.645.884.3
OECD Europa15.120.035.971.0
Japon0.10.10.30.5
Australia Nueva Zelandia1.52.75.910.1
NO - OECD
Rusia60.0106.2115.3281.5
Otros NO Oecd Europa/Eurasia19.132.355.6107.0
China18.319.614.652.5
India5.83.86.816.4
Otros No OECD Asia10.314.623.948.8
Medio Este743.4252.5269.21265.1
Africa102.673.5124.7300.8
Centro y Sud Amrica103.490.8125.3319.5
Total Mundo1292.7730.2938.92961.8
OPEC901.7395.6400.51697.8
NO- OPEC391.0334.6538.41264.0
Comsumo mundial de gas naturaln1990 2030
No -OECD OtrosNO-OECD Europa EurasiaOECD
199010.326.336.873.4
200220.622.349.692.5
200321.723.650.295.5
201031.828.656.1116.5
201540.231.562.6134.3
202048.334.866.8149.9
205057.937.570.5165.9
203067.340.574.2182
Consumo GN 2003 2030 por usurio fina
IndustriaGeneracinOtros
20034129.424
2010443726
2015624327
2020705028
2025785630
2030876232
Reservas de GAS Natural por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
EuropaCetro y Sud AmricaNorte AmricaAsiaAfricaEurasiaMedio Este
20125126539248619532565
Gas Natural Mundial Reservas por pas a enero 2006
OrdenPaisReservas% del TotalOrdenPaisReservas% del Total
1Rusia168027.511Indonesia981.6
2Iran97115.912Noruega841.4
3Qatar91114.913Malasia751.2
4Arabia Saudita2413.914Turkmenistan711.2
5UAE Emiratos Arabes Unidos2143.515Uzbekistan661.1
6Estados Unidos1933.216Kazakhstan651.1
7Nigeria1853.017Netherlands621.0
8Algeria1612.618Egipto591.0
9Venezuela1512.519Canada570.9
10Iraq1121.820Kuwait560.9
10 Top481978.820 Top551290.2
Resto del Mundo6029.8
Total Mundial6114100.0
Precios
175
270
360
450
547
647
740
836
926
1030
1126
1228
1332
1430
1528
1625
1720
1824
1925
2020
2115
2220
2330
2435
2534
2630
2735
2855
29575757
30565650
31575045
32564840
33584838
34584836
35584936
36605036
37625238
38665638
39705437
40765437
41785637
42785836
43805838
44855737
45905737
46905638
47925737
48945836
49945637
50965636
5.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.0351758794
5.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.5189189189
7.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.8443531828
7.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471
8.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444
8.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
24.331.5
13.529.8
15.516.3
8.810.1
5.38.5
5.37.8
4.97.1
2.74.9
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
7075150375670
7076190380716
7277200385734
7380200400753
10077200400777
9876210590974
10475190590959
106761906801052
108741906901062
110751806901055
120761857001081
1301003407001270
1401003407401320
1501003407401330
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
4129.424
443726
624327
705028
785630
876232
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Medio Este
Medio Este
Norte Amrica
Norte Amrica
Ctro y Sud Amrica
Ctro y Sud Amrica
Africa
Africa
Eurasia
Eurasia
Asia
Asia
Europa
Europa
743
213
103
103
79
36
15
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
Reservas estimadas por US Geological Survey al 2005.Reservas incluyen crudo y condensados de gas natural
Reservas probadas reportadaspor O&G Journal,volmenes estimados que pueden ser recuperados bajo tecnologa y precios presentes. No estan reflejados cambios individuales durante 2005
No -OECD Otros
NO-OECD Europa Eurasia
OECD
TCF (trillones de pies cbicos)
Consumo mundial Gas Natural
1990
1990
1990
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2003
2010
2010
2010
2015
2015
2015
2020
2020
2020
2050
2050
2050
2030
2030
2030
10.3
26.3
36.8
20.6
22.3
49.6
21.7
23.6
50.2
31.8
28.6
56.1
40.2
31.5
62.6
48.3
34.8
66.8
57.9
37.5
70.5
67.3
40.5
74.2
Industria
Generacin
Otros
TCF (trillones pies cbicos)
Consumo de Gas Natural Mundial por usuario final
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
TCF (trillones pies cbicos)
Reservas Gas Natural por regin a Enero 2006
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
Total Mundial:6,112 Trillones pies cbicos
Dlares del 2004/ barril
Precios de Crudo 3 Casos 1980-2030
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Dlares 2004 / Barril
Precios de crudo 3 casos 1980 2030
20.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
23.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
24.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
26.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
28.515.99.46216.646.898.2
3015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
31.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
33.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
TOTAL
MMBPD
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
OECD Norte Amrica
No-OECD Asia
Centro y Sud Amrica
TOTAL
MMBPD
Medio Este743
Norte Amrica213
Ctro y Sud Amrica103
Africa103
Eurasia79
Asia36
Europa15
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Pases OECD
No-OECD
Medio Este y Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
Total
MMBPD
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
Venta Derivados Pas
GLPGasolinasFuel JetKeroseneDieselResidualesTotal
19963191.210510.63557.55103.31944711273.754557.1149.4715068493
19973414.310157.43398.2503919543.49405.753513.3146.6117808219
19984038.710117.43302.64900.320125.510598.854489.8149.2871232877
19994698.710139.33007.7486421236.510256.856610.7155.0978082192
20004959.89302.12683.25044.120056.89743.854063.4148.1189041096
20015146.78408.72776.55508.318283.28405.751084.5139.9575342466
20025860.38449.51565.86430.617974.98807.351173.9140.2024657534
20036404.37961.81085.14316.119799.68110.349312.7135.1032876712
20046691.37960.210732538.823329.79906.255334151.6
20057810.37282.17201652.521398.28656.848982.8134.1994520548
PROYECCION 2005- 2014 DEMANDA COMBUSTIBLES METRCADO NACIONAL REFERENCIA
SIN CONSIDERAR EFECTO DEL GAS NATURAL
DIESELGASOLINASRESIDUALESKEROSENEGLPTURBOOTROSTOTAL
200567.724.327.56.619.59.63.7158.9
200670.824.428.66.320.49.83.9164.2
200774.124.629.6621.6104.1170.0
200877.224.630.65.722.610.24.3175.2
200980.424.631.65.423.610.44.5180.5
201083.724.632.75.124.610.54.7185.9
201187.124.633.84.725.610.74.9191.4
201290.624.5354.426.710.95.1197.2
201394.124.536.34.127.811.15.4203.3
201497.824.437.43.728.811.35.6209.0
Pronstico del efecto del ingreso de gas Natural en la Demanda de combustibles
BASEEFECTODiferencia
2005158.9154.44.5
2006164.2154.69.6
2007170154.215.8
2008175.2156.119.1
2009180.5158.222.3
2010185.9160.825.1
2011191.4165.525.9
2012197.2169.427.8
2013203.3173.829.5
2014209178.730.3
sustitucin de derivados
dieselresidualesgasolinaskeroseneglptotal
20051.72.50.300.14.6
20063.55.20.70.10.29.7
200758.21.30.40.715.6
20085.99.720.60.919.1
20096.6112.80.71.122.2
20107.512.33.10.91.425.2
20117.712.83.31.11.626.5
20128.113.23.61.21.827.9
20138.413.83.91.3229.4
20148.614.14.11.42.230.4
Pronostico Deamanda Gas Natural
GeneracionIndustrialResidencialVehicular
Comercial
200587.558.40.52
200682.185.41.54.1
2007102.5116.35.37.9
2008118.3130.16.912.2
2009139.5142.4916.6
2010164.2257.411.218.3
2011184.1261.512.619.9
2012208.6266.114.621.3
2013230.8271.21623.3
2014259.6274.417.224.8
2015282.8279.21826.4
2016313.528418.527.9
2017349.6288.919.929.6
2018367293.820.431.2
2019404.5298.620.832.8
2020431301.721.234.2
2021425.8303.921.835.9
2022475.730623.337.5
2023500.8308.223.739.1
2024527.2310.224.240.6
2025559.1312.524.542.3
Rservas Probadas Gas Natural y LGN
Gas NaturalLGN
200511.4708.1
200611.33695.1
200711.25682.9
200811.15667
200910.8638.4
201010.3610.6
20119.96583.6
20129.52557.9
20139.08532.6
20148.61507.2
DemandaSuministroPrecio
no OPECWTI
1.80.712.1
1.60.42.56
0.81.62.1
1.22.052.79
2.52.10.93
2.652.259.3
3.11.413.5
2.90.5516.79
1.650.414.4
1.750.914.4
1.2-0.119.3
0.9-0.2512.1
10.613
1.3-0.216.79
21.57.4
2.11.98.8
2.151.84.1
1.81.9-1.4
1.61.5-2.8
1.91.4-1.9
OPEC
capacidaddas de
extrasuministro
6.855.8
7.456
6.755
654
3.852.5
4.554
0.549.5
0.649.5
0.549
1.351
2.453
2.352
1.851.6
250
1.251.8
1.451.6
1.851.5
1.952
152
154
153.5
0.951.8
0.853.8
0.8553.6
1.153.5
0.952.5
0.852.8
1.352.7
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN REFINACION TRANSPORTE Y COMERCIALIZACION (Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN REFINACION TRANSPORTE Y COMERCIALIZACION (Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total20062007200820092010Total
Modernizacin Petroper150150100400Modernizacin Petroper150150100400
Ampliacin Refinera Pampilla150150300Mejora Combustibles Refinera Pampilla150150300
Ampliacin Pisco6070130Ampliacin Pisco6070130
Grifos y Estaciones de Servicio (*)131313131163Grifos y Estaciones de Servicio (*)131313131163
Plantas Envasadoras de GLP111115Plantas Envasadoras de GLP111115
Plantas de GLP (Bajo Urubamba)1010Plantas de GLP (Bajo Urubamba)1010
Planta de LNG405505501140Planta de LNG405505501140
Gasoducto Proyecto de Exportacin160170170500Gasoducto Proyecto de Exportacin160170170500
Sistema de Distribucin GN666624Distribucion de GN Zona Centro y Norte6185366188Sistema de Distribucin GN666624
Distribucin de Gas Sierra Central207999Otros (**)2510101037Distribucin de Gas Sierra Central207999
Distribucin de Gas Ica3535Distribucin de Gas Ica3535
Construccin Planta Separacin Lquidos (Tumbes)3030Total de Inversiones16340120910801282773Construccin Planta Separacin Lquidos (Tumbes)3030
Otros (**)2510101037
0Distribucion de GN Zona Centro y Norte6185366188
Total de Inversiones16340120910801282773
(*) Incluye Combustibles Lquidos, GLP y GNV(*) Incluye Combustibles Lquidos, GLP y GNV
(**) Incluye Bocombustibles, Microlicuefaccin y gasoductos virtuales(**) Incluye Bocombustibles, Microlicuefaccin y gasoductos virtuales
Planta de Fraccionamiento Pisco
Produccion de liquidos MBPD3535357070
Produccion de GLP MBPD1717173535
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN EXPLORACION PRODUCCION DE PETROLEO Y GAS(Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total
INVERSIONES EN EXPLORACIN1142622963411951208
INVERSIONES EXPLOTACIN47041919839221148
Pozos de desarrollo46741619536181132
Pozos Exploratorios3333416.1
0
INVERSIN TOTAL5846814943802172356
NOTA : 1. Para los contratos en exploracin se ha tomado como referencia los compromisos estipulados contractualmente, es decir los del Programa Mnimo deTrabajo Garantizado y una percepcin personal del momento en que se ejecutara la inversin.2. P
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN EL SUBSECTOR HIDROCARBUROS (Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total
INV. REFINACION TRANSPORTE Y COMERCIALIZACION5846814943802172356
INV. EN EXPLORACION Y PROD. DE PETROLEO Y GAS16340120910801282773
INVERSIN TOTAL6001021170314603455129
3191.210510.63557.55103.31944711273.754557.1
3414.310157.43398.2503919543.49405.753513.3
4038.710117.43302.64900.320125.510598.854489.8
4698.710139.33007.7486421236.510256.856610.7
4959.89302.12683.25044.120056.89743.854063.4
5146.78408.72776.55508.318283.28405.751084.5
5860.38449.51565.86430.617974.98807.351173.9
6404.37961.81085.14316.119799.68110.349312.7
6691.37960.210732538.823329.79906.255334
7810.37282.17201652.521398.28656.848982.8
GLP
Gasolinas
Fuel Jet
Kerosene
Diesel
Residuales
Total
Millones de Barriles/ao
Venta Combustibles en el Pais
158.9154.44.5
164.2154.69.6
170154.215.8
175.2156.119.1
180.5158.222.3
185.9160.825.1
191.4165.525.9
197.2169.427.8
203.3173.829.5
209178.730.3
Diesel 2 , entre el 2000 y 2002 reduccin de 5% por adulteracin , coincide con el incremento del kerosene, por desbalance impositivo.Hoy alcanza 58.3 MBPD.Gasolinas, reducccin sostenida del 3,8%, uso de sustitutos ms econmicos diesel y GLP.Residuales, refleja la actividad industrial a partir del 96 disminuye por reduccin de consumo en generacin.Kerosene, aparte de los picos del 2000 y 2002 se reduce sostenidamente.Jet Fuel, reflejo de la actividad aerocomercial.
DIESEL
GASOLINAS
RESIDUALES
KEROSENE
GLP
TURBO
OTROS
TOTAL
MBPD
DEMANDA ESTIMADA MERCADO NACIONAL
2005
2005
2005
2005
2005
2005
2005
2005
2006
2006
2006
2006
2006
2006
2006
2006
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2008
2008
2008
2008
2008
2008
2008
2008
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2010
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
2014
67.7
24.3
27.5
6.6
19.5
9.6
3.7
158.9
70.8
24.4
28.6
6.3
20.4
9.8
3.9
164.2
74.1
24.6
29.6
6
21.6
10
4.1
170
77.2
24.6
30.6
5.7
22.6
10.2
4.3
175.2
80.4
24.6
31.6
5.4
23.6
10.4
4.5
180.5
83.7
24.6
32.7
5.1
24.6
10.5
4.7
185.9
87.1
24.6
33.8
4.7
25.6
10.7
4.9
191.4
90.6
24.5
35
4.4
26.7
10.9
5.1
197.2
94.1
24.5
36.3
4.1
27.8
11.1
5.4
203.3
97.8
24.4
37.4
3.7
28.8
11.3
5.6
209
BASE
EFECTO
Diferencia
MBPD
Pronstico efecto de sustitucin del gas natural
1.72.50.300.14.6
3.55.20.70.10.29.7
58.21.30.40.715.6
5.99.720.60.919.1
6.6112.80.71.122.2
7.512.33.10.91.425.2
7.712.83.31.11.626.5
8.113.23.61.21.827.9
8.413.83.91.3229.4
8.614.14.11.42.230.4
diesel
residuales
gasolinas
kerosene
glp
total
MBPD
Sustitucin de Derivados
87.558.40.52
82.185.41.54.1
102.5116.35.37.9
118.3130.16.912.2
139.5142.4916.6
164.2257.411.218.3
184.1261.512.619.9
208.6266.114.621.3
230.8271.21623.3
259.6274.417.224.8
282.8279.21826.4
313.528418.527.9
349.6288.919.929.6
367293.820.431.2
404.5298.620.832.8
431301.721.234.2
425.8303.921.835.9
475.730623.337.5
500.8308.223.739.1
527.2310.224.240.6
559.1312.524.542.3
Generacion
Industrial
Residencial Comercial
Vehicular
MMPCD
Pronostico Demanda Gas Natural
6.855.8
7.456
6.755
654
3.852.5
4.554
0.549.5
0.649.5
0.549
1.351
2.453
2.352
1.851.6
250
1.251.8
1.451.6
1.851.5
1.952
152
154
153.5
0.951.8
0.853.8
0.8553.6
1.153.5
0.952.5
0.852.8
1.352.7
Fuente MINEM Crecimiento promedio anual 10% escenario trmico
TCF
Gas Natural
LGN
MMBLS
Reservas Probadas GN Y LGN
2005
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2012
2012
2013
2013
2014
2014
11.4
708.1
11.33
695.1
11.25
682.9
11.15
667
10.8
638.4
10.3
610.6
9.96
583.6
9.52
557.9
9.08
532.6
8.61
507.2
Fuente MINEM Reservas comprenden Lote 88 (Camisea) y Lote 56 (Pagoreni),Noroeste y Selva Central.
Demanda
Suministro no OPEC
Precio WTI
Cambio en MMBD respecto ao previo
1.8
0.7
12.1
1.6
0.4
2.56
0.8
1.6
2.1
1.2
2.05
2.79
2.5
2.1
0.93
2.65
2.25
9.3
3.1
1.4
13.5
2.9
0.55
16.79
1.65
0.4
14.4
1.75
0.9
14.4
1.2
-0.1
19.3
0.9
-0.25
12.1
1
0.6
13
1.3
-0.2
16.79
2
1.5
7.4
2.1
1.9
8.8
2.15
1.8
4.1
1.8
1.9
-1.4
1.6
1.5
-2.8
1.9
1.4
-1.9
OPEC capacidad extra
OPEC das de suministro
MMBPD
Cobertura deinventario vs Capacidad respuesta OPEC
MBD000246FD.xls
Hoja1
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN REFINACION TRANSPORTE Y COMERCIALIZACION (Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total
Modernizacin Petroper150150100400
Ampliacin Refinera Pampilla150150300
Ampliacin Pisco6070130
Grifos y Estaciones de Servicio (*)131313131163
Plantas Envasadoras de GLP111115
Plantas de GLP (Bajo Urubamba)1010
Planta de LNG405505501140
Gasoducto Proyecto de Exportacin160170170500
Sistema de Distribucin GN666624
Distribucin de Gas Sierra Central207999
Distribucin de Gas Ica3535
Construccin Planta Separacin Lquidos (Tumbes)3030
Otros (**)2510101037
0
Total de Inversiones16340120910801282773
(*) Incluye Combustibles Lquidos, GLP y GNV
(**) Incluye Bocombustibles, Microlicuefaccin y gasoductos virtuales
Planta de Fraccionamiento Pisco
Produccion de liquidos MBPD3535357070
Produccion de GLP MBPD1717173535
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN EXPLORACION PRODUCCION DE PETROLEO Y GAS(Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total
INVERSIONES EN EXPLORACIN1142622963411951208
INVERSIONES EXPLOTACIN47041919839221148
Pozos de desarrollo46741619536181132
Pozos Exploratorios3333416.1
0
INVERSIN TOTAL5846814943802172356
NOTA : 1. Para los contratos en exploracin se ha tomado como referencia los compromisos estipulados contractualmente, es decir los del Programa Mnimo deTrabajo Garantizado y una percepcin personal del momento en que se ejecutara la inversin.2. P
ESTIMADO DE INVERSIONES EN EL SUBSECTOR HIDROCARBUROS (Millones de Dlares - MMUS$)
20062007200820092010Total
INV. REFINACION TRANSPORTE Y COMERCIALIZACION5846814943802172356
INV. EN EXPLORACION Y PROD. DE PETROLEO Y GAS16340120910801282773
INVERSIN TOTAL6001021170314603455129
-
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006El incremento de reservas 1.5% respecto al 2005.Crecieron: Irn (5%) Arabia Saudita incrementa (2%), Kuwait(3%) Venezuela (3%).Decrecieron: Mxico, USA y Reino Unido. Reservas mundiales de crudoTotal Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
Grfico10
7075150375670
7076190380716
7277200385734
7380200400753
10077200400777
9876210590974
10475190590959
106761906801052
108741906901062
110751806901055
120761857001081
1301003407001270
1401003407401320
1501003407401330
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro y SudamricaAfricaMedio EsteNo OECD Europa-EurasiaOECD
3.72.82.62.41.81.0
Tendencias uso por consumidor final 2003-2030
IndustriaTransporteResidencialComercialTOTAL
2003149.888.752.527318
20101959956.929.1380
201522010363.133.9420
2020246109.468.434.2458
2025271.8119.872.234.2498
2030295.8127.0579.3538.8541
Crecimiento %/ao por SEctores2003-2030
IndustrialResidencialComercialTransporte
2.41.71.81.4
Energa Mundial por tipo de combustible
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
137.57557.520101980
123855821.212
132796222.315
136847024.517.5
137.5907525201990
142908127.521
14389873023
156949431.524
157.510510032.5252003
1801201153927
1901381354629
195142.514047.7302015
23519018560352030
CrudoCarbonGas NaturalRenovablesNuclear
19801307557.52010
1990145.392.5752520
2003157.510010032.525
2015195142.514047.730
20302351901856035
Cuota por tipo de Energa Consumida
NuclearRenovableGas NaturalCarbonCrudo
200368242439
201569252635
203059262733
Hoja1
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
OECD
NO OECD
Quadrillion BTU
CONSUMO MUNDIAL ENERGIA
Hoja2
0
0
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento Anual 2003-2030
Hoja3
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Industria
Transporte
Residencial
Comercial
Quatrillones BTU
TENDENCIAS CONSUMIDOR FINAL
0
0
0
0
%
Crecimiento 2003 - 2030 por Sectores
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
Cuatrillones BTU
Energa mundial por tipo de Combustible
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Histrico
Proyeccin
Nuclear
Renovable
Gas Natural
Carbon
Crudo
% del total
Cuota por tipo Combustible
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1980
2003
1980
1990
Crudo
Carbon
Gas Natural
Renovables
Nuclear
CONSUMO DE CRUDO POR REGIONES miLLONES DE BARRILES POR DA MMBPD
OECD Norte AmricaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaNo-OECD AsiaMedio EsteAfricaCentro y Sud AmricaTOTAL
199020.513.77.19.36.63.52.13.866.6
200223.815.38.64.812.95.12.75.378.5
200324.315.58.84.913.55.32.75.380.3
201026.815.89.15.518.56.13.76.291.7
201528.515.99.46216.646.898.2
20203015.89.66.323.874.37.3104.1
202531.5169.96.726.77.44.57.9110.6
203033.416.310.17.129.87.84.98.5117.9
consumo global de crudo por sectores
ElectricidadTransporteindustrialcomercialresidencial
20035.649246231240.35175879426.22864321614.03517587944.035175879480.3
20105.751351351447.243243243229.57837837844.10810810814.518918918991.2
20157.064681724848.443531827533.91047227934.03696098564.844353182898.3
20207.341176470650.980392156936.70588235294.07843137254.8941176471104
20258.222222222255.537.82222222224.11111111115.3444444444111
20308.425714285760.183673469440.12244897964.0122448985.2159183673117.96
1.45.64924623121040.3517587946.526.228643216114.035175879414.035175879419.980.3
1.45.751351351411.547.24324324327.229.578378378414.10810810811.14.518918918922.291.2
1.757.06468172481248.44353182758.433.910472279314.03696098561.24.844353182824.3598.3
1.87.341176470612.550.9803921569936.705882352914.07843137251.24.894117647125.5104
28.222222222213.555.59.237.822222222214.11111111111.35.344444444427111
2.18.42571428571560.18367346941040.122448979614.0122448981.35.215918367329.4117.96
Consumo Global por Regiones y Grupo de Paises 2003 y 2030
Norte AmericaNo.OECD AsiaOECD EuropaOECD AsiaCentro y Sud AmericaMedio EsteNo-OECD Europa-EurasiaAfrica
200324.313.515.58.85.35.34.92.7
203031.529.816.310.18.57.87.14.9
Reservas de Cruod 1980 2006
Billones de Barriles
EurasiaOtros OPECResto MundoOPEC Medio EsteTotal Mundial
19807075150375670
70761903807161982
72772003857341984
198573802004007531986
100772004007771988
19909876210590974
104751905909591992
1067619068010521994
19951087419069010621996
1107518069010551998
2000120761857001081
13010034070012702002
14010034074013202004
20061501003407401330
Reservas de Crudo por region Geogrfica al 01-01-06
Medio EsteNorte AmricaCetro y Sud AmricaAfricaEurasiaAsiaEuropa
743213103103793615
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
00000000
OECD Norte Amrica
OECD Europa
OECD Asia
No-OECD Europa-Eurasia
No-OECD Asia
Medio Este
Africa
Centro y Sud Amrica
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Electricidad
Transporte
industrial
comercial
residencial
MMBPD
Consumo Global Crudo por Sectores
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
2003
2030
Millones de barriles por da
Consumo Mundial Crudo por Regin y Grupo de Pases 2003 y 2030
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Eurasia
Otros OPEC
Resto Mundo
OPEC Medio Este
Total Mundial
Billones de Barriles
Reservas Mundiales de Crudo
Million, Billion, Trillion...
Copyright 1999, Jim Loy
People sometimes ask me the names of the large numbers. Here is a table. The system used in the U.S. is not as logical as that used in other countries (like Great Britain, France, and Germany). In these other countries, a billion (bi meaning two) has twic
Number of zerosU.S. & scientific communityOther countries
3thousandthousand
6millionmillion
9billion1000 million (1 milliard)
12trillionbillion
15quadrillion1000 billion
18quintilliontrillion
21sextillion1000 trillion
24septillionquadrillion
27octillion1000 quadrillion
30nonillionquintillion
33decillion1000 quintillion
36undecillionsextillion
39duodecillion1000 sextillion
42tredecillionseptillion
45quattuordecillion1000 septillion
48quindecillionoctillion
51sexdecillion1000 octillion
54septendecillionnonillion
57octodecillion1000 nonillion
60novemdecilliondecillion
63vigintillion1000 decillion
66 - 120undecillion - vigintillion
303centillion
600centillion
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006
Billones de barriles
Reservas probadaspor regin geogrfica Enero 1, 2006
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Mundial1293 Billones de Barriles
80
91
98
104
111
118
Grfico3
Medio Este743
Norte Amrica213
Ctro y Sud Amrica103
Africa103
Eurasia79
Asia36
Europa15
Hoja1
Energa Consumida Mercado Mundial
Por Regiones
OECDNO OECDTOTAL
1980180103283
1985185124309
1990200147347
1995212154366
2000230170400
2003234.3186.4420.7
2010256.1253.6509.7
2015269.9293.5563.4
2020281.6331.4613
2025294.5370.9665.4
2030308.8412.8721.6
un quad=1*10E15 BTU
Crecimiento %/ao 2003-2030
No OECD-AsiaCentro