io2 ejercicios
DESCRIPTION
Ejercicios resueltosTRANSCRIPT
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ejercicio 1a) venta= 3
costo=2sobra=0.7
DEMANDA20 22 24 26
PIDE 20 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
1) PESIMISTA
20 22 24 2620 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
2) OPTIMISTA
20 22 24 2620 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 24
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26 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
3) HURWICZ
Optimista 0.4
20 22 24 2620 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
4) SAVAGE
20 22 24 2620 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
MAX 20 22 24 26
5) LAPLACE
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0.1666666667 0.166667 0.166667 0.16666720 22 24 26
20 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
B)0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2520 22 24 26
20 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.430 7 11.6 16.2 20.8
C)0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2520 22 24 26
20 20 20 20 2022 17.4 22 22 2224 14.8 19.4 24 2426 12.2 16.8 21.4 2628 9.6 14.2 18.8 23.4
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30 7 11.6 16.2 20.8MAX 20 22 24 26
EN WINQSB
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ejercicio 2A) PESIMISTA
A1 15 10 0 -6 18
A2 3 13 7 8 2
A3 2 5 14 20 -3
A4 7 18 11 2 0
Decisión óptima: A2
Utilidad: 2 soles
B) HURWICZ
Indice de optimismo: 0.6
A1 15 10 0 -6 18
A2 3 13 7 8 2
A3 2 5 14 20 -3
A4 7 18 11 2 0
Decisión óptima: A3
Utilidad: 10.8 soles
C) SAVAGE
A1 15 10 0 -6 18
A2 3 13 7 8 2
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A3 2 5 14 20 -3
A4 7 18 11 2 0
max 15 18 14 20 18
Decisión óptima: A4
Arrepnetimiento: 16 soles
D) LAPLACE
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
A1 15 10 0 -6 18
A2 3 13 7 8 2
A3 2 5 14 20 -3
A4 7 18 11 2 0
Decisión óptima: A2
Utilidad esperada: 7.6 soles
E)Tomaria en cuenta el resulatdo mas critico por trtarse de costos es decir A2
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F)
0.3 0.2 0.05 0.35 0.1
A1 15 10 0 -6 18
A2 3 13 7 8 2
A3 2 5 14 20 -3
A4 7 18 11 2 0
Decisión óptima: A1
Utilidad esperada: 851.6 soles
G)A1 P
15 0.3 4.5 23.232
10 0.2 2 2.888
0 0.05 0 1.922
-6 0.35 -2.1 52.094
18 0.1 1.8 13.924
6.2 94.06
MENOR RIESGO
A4 P
7 0.3 2.1 0.00075
18 0.2 3.6 24.4205
11 0.05 0.55 0.820125
2 0.35 0.7 8.575875
0 0.1 0 4.83025
6.95 38.6475
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CON WINQSB
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28 3020 2022 2224 2426 2628 28
25.4 30
28 30 MIN20 20 2022 22 17.424 24 14.826 26 12.228 28 9.6
25.4 30 7
MAX 20
28 30 MAX20 20 2022 22 2224 24 24
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26 26 2628 28 28
25.4 30 30
MAX 30
28 30 max min20 20 20 20 2022 22 22 17.4 19.2424 24 24 14.8 18.4826 26 26 12.2 17.7228 28 28 9.6 16.96
25.4 30 30 7 16.2
max 20
28 30 20 22 24 2620 20 20 0 2 4 622 22 22 2.6 0 2 424 24 24 5.2 2.6 0 226 26 26 7.8 5.2 2.6 028 28 28 10.4 7.8 5.2 2.6
25.4 30 30 13 10.4 7.8 5.228 30
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0.166667 0.16666728 30 VE20 20 2022 22 21.2333324 24 21.726 26 21.428 28 20.33333
25.4 30 18.5
MAX 21.7
0.2 0.0528 30 VE20 20 2022 22 21.5424 24 22.6226 26 22.3228 28 20.87
25.4 30 18.5
MAX 22.62
0.2 0.05 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2528 30 20 22 24 2620 20 20 0 2 4 622 22 22 2.6 0 2 424 24 24 5.2 2.6 0 226 26 26 7.8 5.2 2.6 028 28 28 10.4 7.8 5.2 2.6
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25.4 30 30 13 10.4 7.8 5.228 30
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-6
2
-3
0
max min
18 -6 8.4
13 2 8.6
20 -3 10.8
18 0 10.8
A1 0 8 14 26 0
A2 12 5 7 12 16
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A3 13 13 0 0 21
A4 8 0 3 18 18
VE
7.4
6.6
7.6
7.6
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VE
851.6
577.4
698.2
629.2
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28 30 MAX8 10 106 8 84 6 62 4 7.80 2 10.4
2.6 0 13
MIN 6
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0.2 0.0528 30 VE
8 10 56 8 3.464 6 2.382 4 2.680 2 4.13
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2.6 0 6.5
MIN 2.38
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MAX
26
16
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21
18
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Usado Mala Usado RegulaUsado BuenaComprar -8000 -6000 -4000Alquilar -15500 -13500 -11500
PesimistaUsado Mala Usado RegulaUsado Buena
Comprar -8000 -6000 -4000Alquilar -15500 -13500 -11500
Decisión óptima: ComprarCosto: -10000
HurwiczIndice de op 0.4
Usado Mala Usado RegulaUsado Buena
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Comprar -8000 -6000 -4000Alquilar -15500 -13500 -11500
Decisión óptima: ComprarCosto: -7600
SavageUsado Mala Usado RegulaUsado Buena
Comprar -8000 -6000 -4000Alquilar -15500 -13500 -11500Max -8000 -6000 -4000
Decisión óptima: ComprarCosto: 500
Laplace0.16666667 0.16666667 0.16666667
Usado Mala Usado RegulaUsado Buena
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Comprar -8000 -6000 -4000Alquilar -15500 -13500 -11500
Decisión óptima: ComprarCosto: -6750
RESOLUCIÓN WINQSB
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Nuevo Mala Nuevo RegulaNuevo Buena-10000 -7500 -5000
-9500 -7000 -4500
Nuevo Mala Nuevo RegulaNuevo Buena Min-10000 -7500 -5000 -10000
-9500 -7000 -4500 -15500
Nuevo Mala Nuevo RegulaNuevo Buena Max
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-10000 -7500 -5000 -4000-9500 -7000 -4500 -4500
Nuevo Mala Nuevo RegulaNuevo Buena-10000 -7500 -5000
-9500 -7000 -4500-9500 -7000 -4500
0.16666667 0.16666667 0.1666666667Nuevo Mala Nuevo RegulaNuevo Buena VE
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-10000 -7500 -5000 -6750-9500 -7000 -4500 -10250
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Condicion Usado NuevoMala 2000 8000Regular 4000 10500Buena 6000 13000
Usado NuevoComprar -10000 -18000Alquilar -1500 -2500 por añoCompra despue-10000 -5000
Max-10000
Min
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-10000 -7600-15500 -11100
Usado MUsado RegUsado BuNuevo MNuevo RegComprar 0 0 0 500 500Alquilar 7500 7500 7500 0 0
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Nuevo BuMax500 500
0 7500