10l - practica pdp (solucionario)

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MANGOS CASCAS PACASMAYO VIRU ASCOPE  Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad 1  15 0.3  1  13 0.26  1  8 0.16  1  8 0.16 2  13 0.26  2  16 0.32  2  12 0.24  2  9 0.18 3  12 0.24  3  10 0.2  3  11 0.22  3  9 0.18 4  10 0.2  4  11 0.22  4  8 0.16  4  11 0.22 5  11 0.22  5  13 0.26 x:javas enviadas enviadas (no necesariaen!e e" c"ien!e "as !oar# !odas$ x  %AS%AS &A%ASMA'O )*+ AS%O&,  &recio java  50  so"es-java 1 101.28 102.96 130.68 139.08  ,nvo nora"  5  so"es-java 2 99./8 102.06 131.28 139.68  ,nvo ren!e  8 so"es-java 3 94.38 96.36 128.28 13/.58  *e!orno  / so"es-java 4 85.38 8/.66 121.98 132./8  ava adiciona"  35 so"es-java 5 113.28 124.68 AS%O&, Solución óptima 1 2 3 4 5 1 139.08  61.28 59.18 54.38 46.28  139.08 1 2 139.08 139.68  88.58 83./8 /5.68  139.68 2 3 139.08 139.68 13/.58  106.88 98./8  139.68 2 4 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8  115.58  139.68 2 5 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 6 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 / 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 8 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 9 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 10 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 11 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2 )*+ Solución óptima 1 2 3 4 5 6 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 / 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 8 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 9 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 1 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 11 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 12 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2 &A%ASMA'O Solución óptima 1 2 3 4 10 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1 11 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1 12 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1 13 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1 %AS%AS Solución óptima 1 2 3 4 14 101.28 99./8 94.38 85.38  101.28  1 Tabla de beneficios esperados i n (x) s 4 Max f(s 4 ,x 4  ) = i(x 4  )  4  x 4 s 3 Max f(s 3 ,x 3  ) = i(x 3  ) + f 4 *(s 3 -x 3  )  3  x 3 s 2 Max f(s 2 ,x 2  ) = i(x 2  ) + f 3 *(s 2 -x 2  )  2  x 2 s 1 Max f(s 1 ,x 1  ) = i(x 1  ) + f 2 *(s 1 -x 1  )  1  x 1 Se reca"c"a e" inreso eserado considerando "as  javas de S-.35 coo ar!e de" c#"c"o.

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Page 1: 10l - Practica Pdp (Solucionario)

7/26/2019 10l - Practica Pdp (Solucionario)

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MANGOS

CASCAS PACASMAYO VIRU ASCOPE

 Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad Javas Veces Probabilidad

1   15 0.3   1   13 0.26   1   8 0.16   1   8 0.16

2   13 0.26   2   16 0.32   2   12 0.24   2   9 0.18

3   12 0.24   3   10 0.2   3   11 0.22   3   9 0.18

4   10 0.2   4   11 0.22   4   8 0.16   4   11 0.22

5   11 0.22   5   13 0.26

x:javas enviadas enviadas (no necesariaen!e e" c"ien!e "as !oar# !odas$x   %AS%AS &A%ASMA'O )*+ AS%O&,   &recio java   50   so"es-java

1 101.28 102.96 130.68 139.08   ,nvo nora"   5   so"es-java

2 99./8 102.06 131.28 139.68   ,nvo ren!e   8 so"es-java

3 94.38 96.36 128.28 13/.58   *e!orno   / so"es-java

4 85.38 8/.66 121.98 132./8   ava adiciona"   35 so"es-java

5 113.28 124.68

AS%O&,

Solución óptima

1 2 3 4 5

1 139.08   61.28 59.18 54.38 46.28   139.08 1

2 139.08 139.68   88.58 83./8 /5.68   139.68 2

3 139.08 139.68 13/.58   106.88 98./8   139.68 2

4 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8   115.58   139.68 2

5 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

6 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

/ 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

8 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

9 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

10 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

11 139.08 139.68 13/.58 132./8 124.68 139.68 2

)*+

Solución óptima

1 2 3 4 5

6 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

/ 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

8 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

9 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

1 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

11 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

12 130.68 131.28 128.28 121.98 113.28 131.28 2

&A%ASMA'O

Solución óptima

1 2 3 4

10 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1

11 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 112 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1

13 102.96 102.06 96.36 8/.66 102.96 1

%AS%AS

Solución óptima

1 2 3 4

14 101.28 99./8 94.38 85.38   101.28   1

Tabla de beneficios esperados i n(x)

s4

Max f(s4,x 

4 ) = i(x 

4 )

 4

  x4

s3

Max f(s3,x 

3 ) = i(x 

3 ) + f 

4*(s

3-x 

3 )

 3

  x3

s2

Max f(s2,x 

2 ) = i(x 

2 ) + f 

3*(s

2-x 

2 )

 2

  x2

s1

Max f(s1,x 

1 ) = i(x 

1 ) + f 

2*(s

1-x 

1 )

 1

  x1

Se reca"c"a e" inresoeserado considerando "as javas de S-.35 coo ar!ede" c#"c"o.